Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district, where the seat has trended steadily Democratic since 2016 and delivered her comfortable reelection margins in both 2022 and 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, citing the district’s leftward shift and Scholten’s established fundraising and constituent base in western Michigan counties including Kent and Ottawa. Republican primary contenders are still emerging ahead of the August 4 contest, with no clear frontrunner yet positioned to close the gap in a general election scheduled for November 3. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage for the Democratic nominee while leaving room for shifts from primary outcomes or broader midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
75%
Republican Party
34%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$447 거래량
75%
Republican Party
$163 거래량
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district, where the seat has trended steadily Democratic since 2016 and delivered her comfortable reelection margins in both 2022 and 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, citing the district’s leftward shift and Scholten’s established fundraising and constituent base in western Michigan counties including Kent and Ottawa. Republican primary contenders are still emerging ahead of the August 4 contest, with no clear frontrunner yet positioned to close the gap in a general election scheduled for November 3. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage for the Democratic nominee while leaving room for shifts from primary outcomes or broader midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
거래량
$610종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district, where the seat has trended steadily Democratic since 2016 and delivered her comfortable reelection margins in both 2022 and 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, citing the district’s leftward shift and Scholten’s established fundraising and constituent base in western Michigan counties including Kent and Ottawa. Republican primary contenders are still emerging ahead of the August 4 contest, with no clear frontrunner yet positioned to close the gap in a general election scheduled for November 3. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage for the Democratic nominee while leaving room for shifts from primary outcomes or broader midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$610종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district, where the seat has trended steadily Democratic since 2016 and delivered her comfortable reelection margins in both 2022 and 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, citing the district’s leftward shift and Scholten’s established fundraising and constituent base in western Michigan counties including Kent and Ottawa. Republican primary contenders are still emerging ahead of the August 4 contest, with no clear frontrunner yet positioned to close the gap in a general election scheduled for November 3. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage for the Democratic nominee while leaving room for shifts from primary outcomes or broader midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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