Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten seeks reelection in Michigan’s 3rd Congressional District, a seat she flipped in 2022 and held by double digits in 2024 amid the district’s steady leftward shift since 2016. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, citing a D+4 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris carrying the area by eight points in the last presidential contest. Republican primary contenders including meteorologist Terri DeBoer face an early-stage field with limited name recognition ahead of the August 2026 primaries. Traders reflect this structural advantage and historical midterm patterns favoring incumbents in similar districts, assigning the Democratic Party an 86 percent implied probability while assigning Republicans just 13 percent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
84%
Republican Party
39%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$440 거래량
84%
Republican Party
$163 거래량
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten seeks reelection in Michigan’s 3rd Congressional District, a seat she flipped in 2022 and held by double digits in 2024 amid the district’s steady leftward shift since 2016. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, citing a D+4 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris carrying the area by eight points in the last presidential contest. Republican primary contenders including meteorologist Terri DeBoer face an early-stage field with limited name recognition ahead of the August 2026 primaries. Traders reflect this structural advantage and historical midterm patterns favoring incumbents in similar districts, assigning the Democratic Party an 86 percent implied probability while assigning Republicans just 13 percent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
거래량
$603종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten seeks reelection in Michigan’s 3rd Congressional District, a seat she flipped in 2022 and held by double digits in 2024 amid the district’s steady leftward shift since 2016. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, citing a D+4 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris carrying the area by eight points in the last presidential contest. Republican primary contenders including meteorologist Terri DeBoer face an early-stage field with limited name recognition ahead of the August 2026 primaries. Traders reflect this structural advantage and historical midterm patterns favoring incumbents in similar districts, assigning the Democratic Party an 86 percent implied probability while assigning Republicans just 13 percent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$603종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten seeks reelection in Michigan’s 3rd Congressional District, a seat she flipped in 2022 and held by double digits in 2024 amid the district’s steady leftward shift since 2016. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, citing a D+4 Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris carrying the area by eight points in the last presidential contest. Republican primary contenders including meteorologist Terri DeBoer face an early-stage field with limited name recognition ahead of the August 2026 primaries. Traders reflect this structural advantage and historical midterm patterns favoring incumbents in similar districts, assigning the Democratic Party an 86 percent implied probability while assigning Republicans just 13 percent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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