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トランプ大統領の関税について、最高裁は...までに判決を下すのでしょうか?

Market icon

トランプ大統領の関税について、最高裁は...までに判決を下すのでしょうか?

$831,015 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$831,015 Vol.

Polymarket

1月14日

$66,587 Vol.

いいえ

1月31日

$560,211 Vol.

いいえ

2月20日

$141,496 Vol.

はい

2月25日

$47,079 Vol.

はい

3月31日

$15,642 Vol.

はい

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court issues an official ruling in the case Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc. by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official ruling on the case is defined as any decision on the merits of the case issued by the Supreme Court, including but not limited to a written opinion, summary disposition, or per curiam opinion.

If the case is dismissed as improvidently granted, dismissed for mootness, vacated and remanded without a decision on the merits, withdrawn or settled, otherwise concluded without a final merits judgment, or there has been no qualifying ruling for this case by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$831,015
終了日
Feb 20, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 11, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court issues an official ruling in the case Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc. by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official ruling on the case is defined as any decision on the merits of the case issued by the Supreme Court, including but not limited to a written opinion, summary disposition, or per curiam opinion. If the case is dismissed as improvidently granted, dismissed for mootness, vacated and remanded without a decision on the merits, withdrawn or settled, otherwise concluded without a final merits judgment, or there has been no qualifying ruling for this case by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"トランプ大統領の関税について、最高裁は...までに判決を下すのでしょうか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2月20日" at 100%, followed by "2月25日" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "トランプ大統領の関税について、最高裁は...までに判決を下すのでしょうか?" has generated $831K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "トランプ大統領の関税について、最高裁は...までに判決を下すのでしょうか?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "トランプ大統領の関税について、最高裁は...までに判決を下すのでしょうか?" is "2月20日" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2月25日" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "トランプ大統領の関税について、最高裁は...までに判決を下すのでしょうか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.