Market icon

テイラー・スウィフトは2026年に「テイラー・スウィフト(テイラーズ・バージョン)」をリリースするのでしょうか?

Market icon

テイラー・スウィフトは2026年に「テイラー・スウィフト(テイラーズ・バージョン)」をリリースするのでしょうか?

はい

55% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

55% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift releases a re-recorded version of her debut album "Taylor Swift" by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. A qualifying album must either have some form of the designation "Taylor's Version" in the title or be acknowledged by Taylor Swift as a re-recording of the relevant album. "Taylor's Version" re-recordings of albums other than the album titled "Taylor Swift" will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket leans slightly toward Yes at 55% implied probability for Taylor Swift releasing her self-titled debut as Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version) in 2026, driven by the approaching 20th anniversary of the original October 24, 2006 drop and Swift's May 2025 confirmation that the re-recording is complete and sounds great. Despite regaining master ownership of her first six albums that year—eliminating the original urgency—her lucrative Taylor's Version rollout (Fearless through 1989) built massive fan demand for completion, with historical release patterns favoring milestone celebrations. No official announcement has emerged in recent months amid speculation from her iHeartRadio Music Awards appearance, but October promo or a surprise vault track drop could solidify momentum, while new original album priorities pose upset risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift releases a re-recorded version of her debut album "Taylor Swift" by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

A qualifying album must either have some form of the designation "Taylor's Version" in the title or be acknowledged by Taylor Swift as a re-recording of the relevant album. "Taylor's Version" re-recordings of albums other than the album titled "Taylor Swift" will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
音量
$2
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift releases a re-recorded version of her debut album "Taylor Swift" by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. A qualifying album must either have some form of the designation "Taylor's Version" in the title or be acknowledged by Taylor Swift as a re-recording of the relevant album. "Taylor's Version" re-recordings of albums other than the album titled "Taylor Swift" will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift releases a re-recorded version of her debut album "Taylor Swift" by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. A qualifying album must either have some form of the designation "Taylor's Version" in the title or be acknowledged by Taylor Swift as a re-recording of the relevant album. "Taylor's Version" re-recordings of albums other than the album titled "Taylor Swift" will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket leans slightly toward Yes at 55% implied probability for Taylor Swift releasing her self-titled debut as Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version) in 2026, driven by the approaching 20th anniversary of the original October 24, 2006 drop and Swift's May 2025 confirmation that the re-recording is complete and sounds great. Despite regaining master ownership of her first six albums that year—eliminating the original urgency—her lucrative Taylor's Version rollout (Fearless through 1989) built massive fan demand for completion, with historical release patterns favoring milestone celebrations. No official announcement has emerged in recent months amid speculation from her iHeartRadio Music Awards appearance, but October promo or a surprise vault track drop could solidify momentum, while new original album priorities pose upset risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift releases a re-recorded version of her debut album "Taylor Swift" by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

A qualifying album must either have some form of the designation "Taylor's Version" in the title or be acknowledged by Taylor Swift as a re-recording of the relevant album. "Taylor's Version" re-recordings of albums other than the album titled "Taylor Swift" will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
音量
$2
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift releases a re-recorded version of her debut album "Taylor Swift" by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. A qualifying album must either have some form of the designation "Taylor's Version" in the title or be acknowledged by Taylor Swift as a re-recording of the relevant album. "Taylor's Version" re-recordings of albums other than the album titled "Taylor Swift" will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「テイラー・スウィフトは2026年に「テイラー・スウィフト(テイラーズ・バージョン)」をリリースするのでしょうか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「テイラー・スウィフトは2026年に「Taylor Swift(Taylor's Version)」をリリースしますか?」で55%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、55¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に55%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「テイラー・スウィフトは2026年に「テイラー・スウィフト(テイラーズ・バージョン)」をリリースするのでしょうか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Apr 2, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「テイラー・スウィフトは2026年に「テイラー・スウィフト(テイラーズ・バージョン)」をリリースするのでしょうか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「テイラー・スウィフトは2026年に「テイラー・スウィフト(テイラーズ・バージョン)」をリリースするのでしょうか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「テイラー・スウィフトは2026年に「Taylor Swift(Taylor's Version)」をリリースしますか?」で55%であり、市場がこの結果に55%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「テイラー・スウィフトは2026年に「テイラー・スウィフト(テイラーズ・バージョン)」をリリースするのでしょうか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。