Market icon
財務·Indicies

KOSPI (KS 11)はQ 1の__ endを超えて終了しますか？

Market icon
財務·Indicies

KOSPI (KS 11)はQ 1の__ endを超えて終了しますか？

NEW
Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$7,538 Vol.

Polymarket

4500

$2,393 Vol.

94%

4750

$2,607 Vol.

99%

5000

$0 Vol.

83%

5250

$0 Vol.

82%

5500

$172 Vol.

47%

5750

$0 Vol.

51%

6000

$857 Vol.

2%

6500

$1,158 Vol.

2%

7000

$350 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) on the final trading day of the first quarter of 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. The closing price for the final day of trading on or before this date will be used to resolve this market. If the final trading day of the quarter is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/history/, published under "Historical Data."The KOSPI index (^KS11) closed at 5,438.87 on March 27, down 0.4% amid mixed signals from Middle East tensions—particularly Iran conflict escalation—and shocks in the AI semiconductor sector, which dominates the benchmark with heavyweights like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. This extends March's volatility, following a record 12% plunge on March 4 that erased over $500 billion in value, partially offset by AI chip demand rallies pushing intraday highs above 5,900 earlier in the month. Year-to-date gains stand at 29%, fueled by record retail trading volumes exceeding 40 trillion won daily, though bubble concerns mount with the index up 115% over 12 months. Traders monitor March 30 industrial output data for February and the March 31 Q1 close, with Bank of Korea's 2.50% base rate providing accommodative support amid global risk-off sentiment from U.S. Treasury yields and Fed policy. Analyst consensus targets 6,500–7,000 by year-end signal optimism, but geopolitical risks loom large.

The KOSPI index (^KS11) closed at 5,438.87 on March 27, down 0.4% amid mixed signals from Middle East tensions—particularly Iran conflict escalation—and shocks in the AI semiconductor sector, which dominates the benchmark with heavyweights like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. This extends March's volatility, following a record 12% plunge on March 4 that erased over $500 billion in value, partially offset by AI chip demand rallies pushing intraday highs above 5,900 earlier in the month. Year-to-date gains stand at 29%, fueled by record retail trading volumes exceeding 40 trillion won daily, though bubble concerns mount with the index up 115% over 12 months. Traders monitor March 30 industrial output data for February and the March 31 Q1 close, with Bank of Korea's 2.50% base rate providing accommodative support amid global risk-off sentiment from U.S. Treasury yields and Fed policy. Analyst consensus targets 6,500–7,000 by year-end signal optimism, but geopolitical risks loom large.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) on the final trading day of the first quarter of 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. The closing price for the final day of trading on or before this date will be used to resolve this market. If the final trading day of the quarter is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/history/, published under "Historical Data."The KOSPI index (^KS11) closed at 5,438.87 on March 27, down 0.4% amid mixed signals from Middle East tensions—particularly Iran conflict escalation—and shocks in the AI semiconductor sector, which dominates the benchmark with heavyweights like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. This extends March's volatility, following a record 12% plunge on March 4 that erased over $500 billion in value, partially offset by AI chip demand rallies pushing intraday highs above 5,900 earlier in the month. Year-to-date gains stand at 29%, fueled by record retail trading volumes exceeding 40 trillion won daily, though bubble concerns mount with the index up 115% over 12 months. Traders monitor March 30 industrial output data for February and the March 31 Q1 close, with Bank of Korea's 2.50% base rate providing accommodative support amid global risk-off sentiment from U.S. Treasury yields and Fed policy. Analyst consensus targets 6,500–7,000 by year-end signal optimism, but geopolitical risks loom large.

The KOSPI index (^KS11) closed at 5,438.87 on March 27, down 0.4% amid mixed signals from Middle East tensions—particularly Iran conflict escalation—and shocks in the AI semiconductor sector, which dominates the benchmark with heavyweights like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. This extends March's volatility, following a record 12% plunge on March 4 that erased over $500 billion in value, partially offset by AI chip demand rallies pushing intraday highs above 5,900 earlier in the month. Year-to-date gains stand at 29%, fueled by record retail trading volumes exceeding 40 trillion won daily, though bubble concerns mount with the index up 115% over 12 months. Traders monitor March 30 industrial output data for February and the March 31 Q1 close, with Bank of Korea's 2.50% base rate providing accommodative support amid global risk-off sentiment from U.S. Treasury yields and Fed policy. Analyst consensus targets 6,500–7,000 by year-end signal optimism, but geopolitical risks loom large.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「KOSPI (KS 11)はQ 1の__ endを超えて終了しますか？」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「4750」で99%、次いで「4500」が94%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、99¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に99%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「KOSPI (KS 11)はQ 1の__ endを超えて終了しますか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jan 27, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「KOSPI (KS 11)はQ 1の__ endを超えて終了しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「KOSPI (KS 11)はQ 1の__ endを超えて終了しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「4750」で99%であり、市場がこの結果に99%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「4500」で94%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「KOSPI (KS 11)はQ 1の__ endを超えて終了しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。