Recent Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military targets on October 26, 2024, prompted Iran's parliament to pass a non-binding bill suspending technical cooperation with the IAEA, but parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf clarified this does not mean withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei holds final authority on treaty matters, and Tehran has issued no official signals of intent to exit before 2027 despite ongoing uranium enrichment to 60% purity and IAEA access disputes. Traders' 74% "No" consensus reflects the high diplomatic and sanctions costs of NPT withdrawal—triggering UN Security Council scrutiny—against Iran's history of rhetorical escalation without substantive treaty breach since stalled JCPOA revival talks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$83,450 Vol.
$83,450 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
はい
$83,450 Vol.
$83,450 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military targets on October 26, 2024, prompted Iran's parliament to pass a non-binding bill suspending technical cooperation with the IAEA, but parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf clarified this does not mean withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei holds final authority on treaty matters, and Tehran has issued no official signals of intent to exit before 2027 despite ongoing uranium enrichment to 60% purity and IAEA access disputes. Traders' 74% "No" consensus reflects the high diplomatic and sanctions costs of NPT withdrawal—triggering UN Security Council scrutiny—against Iran's history of rhetorical escalation without substantive treaty breach since stalled JCPOA revival talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
音量
$83,450終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military targets on October 26, 2024, prompted Iran's parliament to pass a non-binding bill suspending technical cooperation with the IAEA, but parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf clarified this does not mean withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei holds final authority on treaty matters, and Tehran has issued no official signals of intent to exit before 2027 despite ongoing uranium enrichment to 60% purity and IAEA access disputes. Traders' 74% "No" consensus reflects the high diplomatic and sanctions costs of NPT withdrawal—triggering UN Security Council scrutiny—against Iran's history of rhetorical escalation without substantive treaty breach since stalled JCPOA revival talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$83,450終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military targets on October 26, 2024, prompted Iran's parliament to pass a non-binding bill suspending technical cooperation with the IAEA, but parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf clarified this does not mean withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei holds final authority on treaty matters, and Tehran has issued no official signals of intent to exit before 2027 despite ongoing uranium enrichment to 60% purity and IAEA access disputes. Traders' 74% "No" consensus reflects the high diplomatic and sanctions costs of NPT withdrawal—triggering UN Security Council scrutiny—against Iran's history of rhetorical escalation without substantive treaty breach since stalled JCPOA revival talks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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