Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 91.5% implied probability for GTA 6 costing $100+ for its standard edition, driven by Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick's late-March 2026 comments signaling a conventional $70–$80 launch price amid rumors of $3 billion-plus development costs. This aligns with industry precedent—GTA 5 launched at $60 (inflation-adjusted near $70 today)—and MIDiA Research models showing $100 would reduce unit sales and revenue despite the blockbuster scope. Analysts note Rockstar's history of maximizing accessibility for massive sales trajectories, with no verified leaks indicating a premium shift. Realistic upsets include a last-minute pricing pivot tied to deluxe bundles or economic pressures before the November 2026 release, though guild-like developer incentives and pre-sale tracking reinforce the $70 sweet spot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日GTA 6の料金は$ 100以上になりますか？
GTA 6の料金は$ 100以上になりますか？
はい
$46,579 Vol.
$46,579 Vol.
2027/02/28
はい
$46,579 Vol.
$46,579 Vol.
2027/02/28
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 91.5% implied probability for GTA 6 costing $100+ for its standard edition, driven by Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick's late-March 2026 comments signaling a conventional $70–$80 launch price amid rumors of $3 billion-plus development costs. This aligns with industry precedent—GTA 5 launched at $60 (inflation-adjusted near $70 today)—and MIDiA Research models showing $100 would reduce unit sales and revenue despite the blockbuster scope. Analysts note Rockstar's history of maximizing accessibility for massive sales trajectories, with no verified leaks indicating a premium shift. Realistic upsets include a last-minute pricing pivot tied to deluxe bundles or economic pressures before the November 2026 release, though guild-like developer incentives and pre-sale tracking reinforce the $70 sweet spot.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
音量
$46,579終了日
2027/02/28マーケット開始日
Feb 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 91.5% implied probability for GTA 6 costing $100+ for its standard edition, driven by Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick's late-March 2026 comments signaling a conventional $70–$80 launch price amid rumors of $3 billion-plus development costs. This aligns with industry precedent—GTA 5 launched at $60 (inflation-adjusted near $70 today)—and MIDiA Research models showing $100 would reduce unit sales and revenue despite the blockbuster scope. Analysts note Rockstar's history of maximizing accessibility for massive sales trajectories, with no verified leaks indicating a premium shift. Realistic upsets include a last-minute pricing pivot tied to deluxe bundles or economic pressures before the November 2026 release, though guild-like developer incentives and pre-sale tracking reinforce the $70 sweet spot.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.
If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.
This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.
If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$46,579終了日
2027/02/28マーケット開始日
Feb 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 91.5% implied probability for GTA 6 costing $100+ for its standard edition, driven by Take-Two Interactive CEO Strauss Zelnick's late-March 2026 comments signaling a conventional $70–$80 launch price amid rumors of $3 billion-plus development costs. This aligns with industry precedent—GTA 5 launched at $60 (inflation-adjusted near $70 today)—and MIDiA Research models showing $100 would reduce unit sales and revenue despite the blockbuster scope. Analysts note Rockstar's history of maximizing accessibility for massive sales trajectories, with no verified leaks indicating a premium shift. Realistic upsets include a last-minute pricing pivot tied to deluxe bundles or economic pressures before the November 2026 release, though guild-like developer incentives and pre-sale tracking reinforce the $70 sweet spot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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