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Appleは6月30日までに携帯電話接続を備えたMacBookをリリースしますか?

Market icon

Appleは6月30日までに携帯電話接続を備えたMacBookをリリースしますか?

はい

4% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

4% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 96.4% implied probability for Apple releasing a MacBook with built-in cellular connectivity by June 30, driven by the March 2026 launch of M5-powered MacBook Pro and Air models, which feature advanced N1 wireless but omit cellular modems amid Apple's focus on Wi-Fi 7 and Apple Intelligence integration. Persistent rumors of C2 modem integration and 5G support point to late-2026 or 2027 redesigns with OLED displays and thinner chassis, aligning with historical MacBook Pro cycles that avoid mid-year refreshes. WWDC 2026 (June 8–12) could surprise with software hints or teasers, but hardware rollout timelines, supply chain silence, and FCC filing absences make a pre-July debut improbable barring technical breakthroughs or regulatory fast-tracks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$5,870
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 96.4% implied probability for Apple releasing a MacBook with built-in cellular connectivity by June 30, driven by the March 2026 launch of M5-powered MacBook Pro and Air models, which feature advanced N1 wireless but omit cellular modems amid Apple's focus on Wi-Fi 7 and Apple Intelligence integration. Persistent rumors of C2 modem integration and 5G support point to late-2026 or 2027 redesigns with OLED displays and thinner chassis, aligning with historical MacBook Pro cycles that avoid mid-year refreshes. WWDC 2026 (June 8–12) could surprise with software hints or teasers, but hardware rollout timelines, supply chain silence, and FCC filing absences make a pre-July debut improbable barring technical breakthroughs or regulatory fast-tracks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$5,870
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Appleは6月30日までに携帯電話接続を備えたMacBookをリリースしますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Appleは6月30日までにセルラー接続対応のMacBookを発売しますか?」で4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、4¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に4%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Appleは6月30日までに携帯電話接続を備えたMacBookをリリースしますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 25, 2025開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Appleは6月30日までに携帯電話接続を備えたMacBookをリリースしますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「Appleは6月30日までに携帯電話接続を備えたMacBookをリリースしますか?」の現在のリーダーは「Appleは6月30日までにセルラー接続対応のMacBookを発売しますか?」でわずか4%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Appleは6月30日までに携帯電話接続を備えたMacBookをリリースしますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。