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ロシアの議会選挙で最も多くの議席を獲得する政党はどれですか?

Market icon

ロシアの議会選挙で最も多くの議席を獲得する政党はどれですか?

統一ロシア(ER) 78%

ニューピープル(NL) 15.0%

ロシア自由民主党(LDPR) 5.5%

ロシア連邦共産党(KPRF) 1.6%

Polymarket

$2,149,787 Vol.

統一ロシア(ER) 78%

ニューピープル(NL) 15.0%

ロシア自由民主党(LDPR) 5.5%

ロシア連邦共産党(KPRF) 1.6%

Polymarket

$2,149,787 Vol.

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統一ロシア(ER)

$1,034,139 Vol.

78%

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ニューピープル(NL)

$237,167 Vol.

15%

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ロシア自由民主党(LDPR)

$208,633 Vol.

6%

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ロシア連邦共産党(KPRF)

$172,098 Vol.

2%

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ロジーナ

$155,707 Vol.

<1%

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公正ロシア・ための真実(SRZP)

$195,427 Vol.

<1%

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シビック・プラットフォーム(GP)

$146,617 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$2,149,787
終了日
Sep 30, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"ロシアの議会選挙で最も多くの議席を獲得する政党はどれですか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "統一ロシア(ER)" at 78%, followed by "ニューピープル(NL)" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "ロシアの議会選挙で最も多くの議席を獲得する政党はどれですか?" has generated $2.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "ロシアの議会選挙で最も多くの議席を獲得する政党はどれですか?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ロシアの議会選挙で最も多くの議席を獲得する政党はどれですか?" is "統一ロシア(ER)" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ニューピープル(NL)" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ロシアの議会選挙で最も多くの議席を獲得する政党はどれですか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.