Polymarket traders exhibit strong consensus with a 76% implied probability for the Los Angeles metro area's median home value falling in the $1.175–1.18 million range on April 1, per Parcl Labs index, amid stabilizing month-over-month trends despite year-over-year declines of 0.8% in Zillow's ZHVI ($954,296 as of late February) and 4.7% in Redfin's median sale price ($1.0 million). Rising inventory levels reported in March—active listings up notably from late 2025 peaks—alongside mortgage rates easing toward 6%, have tempered appreciation expectations, concentrating sentiment in this narrow bin while assigning modest odds to downside risks below $1.17 million from ongoing affordability pressures and prior wildfire impacts. Resolution hinges on today's Parcl data release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月1日のロサンゼルス大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？
4月1日のロサンゼルス大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？
1.175 - 1.18百万 55%
1.18 - 1.185百万 20%
1.185 - 1.19百万 11.6%
1.17百万未満 9.6%
$3,984 Vol.
$3,984 Vol.
2026/04/01
1.17百万未満
12%
1.17 - 1.175百万
5%
1.175 - 1.18百万
76%
1.18 - 1.185百万
12%
1.185 - 1.19百万
8%
1.19 - 1.195百万
3%
1.195〜1.2百万
1%
>1.2m
2%
1.175 - 1.18百万 55%
1.18 - 1.185百万 20%
1.185 - 1.19百万 11.6%
1.17百万未満 9.6%
$3,984 Vol.
$3,984 Vol.
2026/04/01
1.17百万未満
$830 Vol.
12%
1.17 - 1.175百万
$872 Vol.
5%
1.175 - 1.18百万
$697 Vol.
76%
1.18 - 1.185百万
$194 Vol.
12%
1.185 - 1.19百万
$466 Vol.
8%
1.19 - 1.195百万
$606 Vol.
3%
1.195〜1.2百万
$89 Vol.
1%
>1.2m
$231 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/16)Polymarket traders exhibit strong consensus with a 76% implied probability for the Los Angeles metro area's median home value falling in the $1.175–1.18 million range on April 1, per Parcl Labs index, amid stabilizing month-over-month trends despite year-over-year declines of 0.8% in Zillow's ZHVI ($954,296 as of late February) and 4.7% in Redfin's median sale price ($1.0 million). Rising inventory levels reported in March—active listings up notably from late 2025 peaks—alongside mortgage rates easing toward 6%, have tempered appreciation expectations, concentrating sentiment in this narrow bin while assigning modest odds to downside risks below $1.17 million from ongoing affordability pressures and prior wildfire impacts. Resolution hinges on today's Parcl data release.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/16)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/16)
マーケット開始日： Feb 27, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
音量
$3,984終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/16)Polymarket traders exhibit strong consensus with a 76% implied probability for the Los Angeles metro area's median home value falling in the $1.175–1.18 million range on April 1, per Parcl Labs index, amid stabilizing month-over-month trends despite year-over-year declines of 0.8% in Zillow's ZHVI ($954,296 as of late February) and 4.7% in Redfin's median sale price ($1.0 million). Rising inventory levels reported in March—active listings up notably from late 2025 peaks—alongside mortgage rates easing toward 6%, have tempered appreciation expectations, concentrating sentiment in this narrow bin while assigning modest odds to downside risks below $1.17 million from ongoing affordability pressures and prior wildfire impacts. Resolution hinges on today's Parcl data release.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/16)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/16)
音量
$3,984終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders exhibit strong consensus with a 76% implied probability for the Los Angeles metro area's median home value falling in the $1.175–1.18 million range on April 1, per Parcl Labs index, amid stabilizing month-over-month trends despite year-over-year declines of 0.8% in Zillow's ZHVI ($954,296 as of late February) and 4.7% in Redfin's median sale price ($1.0 million). Rising inventory levels reported in March—active listings up notably from late 2025 peaks—alongside mortgage rates easing toward 6%, have tempered appreciation expectations, concentrating sentiment in this narrow bin while assigning modest odds to downside risks below $1.17 million from ongoing affordability pressures and prior wildfire impacts. Resolution hinges on today's Parcl data release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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