Market icon
エコノミー·住宅·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?

Market icon
エコノミー·住宅·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?

327 - 330k 94.3%

<321k 2.5%

324 - 327k 2.4%

330 - 333k 1.8%

Polymarket

$14,784 Vol.

327 - 330k 94.3%

<321k 2.5%

324 - 327k 2.4%

330 - 333k 1.8%

Polymarket

$14,784 Vol.

<321k

$353 Vol.

2%

321 - 324k

$2,846 Vol.

<1%

324 - 327k

$1,594 Vol.

2%

327 - 330k

$7,931 Vol.

94%

330 - 333k

$948 Vol.

2%

333 - 336k

$400 Vol.

1%

336 - 339千ドル

$259 Vol.

1%

339k超

$453 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.3% implied probability to Chicago's median home value falling in the 327-330k range on April 1, 2026, derived from Parcl Labs' daily Sales Price Index (Parcl_ID: 2899845) scaled by the city's 1,500 sq ft median home size. This strong positioning reflects recent stability in the index amid softening national home price momentum, with Chicago's February Redfin median sale price at $389,500 (up 6.7% YoY) and Zillow ZHVI at $312,457 (up 2.5% YoY), supported by steady inventory and Fed funds rate hold curbing volatility. Realistic challenges include a spring listing surge or anomalous sales data pushing the per-sq-ft index beyond $218-220, though low trading volume signals limited dissent. Resolution awaits Parcl's April 1 release.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)
音量
$14,784
終了日
2026/04/01
マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.3% implied probability to Chicago's median home value falling in the 327-330k range on April 1, 2026, derived from Parcl Labs' daily Sales Price Index (Parcl_ID: 2899845) scaled by the city's 1,500 sq ft median home size. This strong positioning reflects recent stability in the index amid softening national home price momentum, with Chicago's February Redfin median sale price at $389,500 (up 6.7% YoY) and Zillow ZHVI at $312,457 (up 2.5% YoY), supported by steady inventory and Fed funds rate hold curbing volatility. Realistic challenges include a spring listing surge or anomalous sales data pushing the per-sq-ft index beyond $218-220, though low trading volume signals limited dissent. Resolution awaits Parcl's April 1 release.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)
音量
$14,784
終了日
2026/04/01
マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「327 - 330k」で94%、次いで「<321k」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、94¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に94%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?」は$14.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 27, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?」の現在のフロントランナーは「327 - 330k」で94%であり、市場がこの結果に94%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「<321k」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。