Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Tim Cook remaining Apple CEO beyond March 31, driven by the complete absence of official announcements, board leaks, or credible reports signaling any leadership shakeup. Cook's 13-year tenure has steered Apple to trillion-dollar valuations amid blockbuster product launches like the Vision Pro, with no signs of internal discord or succession acceleration despite past speculation around heirs apparent like John Ternus. Financial strength and stable governance reinforce this 99.7% "No" probability. Realistic upsets—such as an unforeseen health crisis, antitrust fallout forcing resignation, or surprise acquisition—remain black-swan territory, with zero current indicators pointing that way.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ティム・クックが3月31日までにアップルのCEOに就任しますか?
ティム・クックが3月31日までにアップルのCEOに就任しますか?
はい
$123,818 Vol.
$123,818 Vol.
はい
$123,818 Vol.
$123,818 Vol.
An announcement of Tim Cook's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Apple and/or Tim Cook, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Nov 20, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Tim Cook's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Apple and/or Tim Cook, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Tim Cook remaining Apple CEO beyond March 31, driven by the complete absence of official announcements, board leaks, or credible reports signaling any leadership shakeup. Cook's 13-year tenure has steered Apple to trillion-dollar valuations amid blockbuster product launches like the Vision Pro, with no signs of internal discord or succession acceleration despite past speculation around heirs apparent like John Ternus. Financial strength and stable governance reinforce this 99.7% "No" probability. Realistic upsets—such as an unforeseen health crisis, antitrust fallout forcing resignation, or surprise acquisition—remain black-swan territory, with zero current indicators pointing that way.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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