Avengers: Doomsday commands the market’s leading 70% implied probability thanks to its positioning as the next major MCU crossover event, with Robert Downey Jr. returning as Doctor Doom fueling massive franchise anticipation ahead of its December 18 release. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 20.5% on the strength of Tom Holland’s proven draw and its July 31 slot, yet trails due to the scale of Avengers-level hype. Family-oriented titles like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Toy Story 5 capture modest shares through reliable animated appeal, while later entries such as Dune: Messiah and Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu remain distant factors. Industry tracking and early pre-release buzz continue to reinforce Doomsday’s frontrunner status as traders weigh holiday blockbuster potential against summer competition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 71%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 21%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 3.5%
Toy Story 5 3.0%
$12,880 Vol.
$12,880 Vol.
2026/12/31
Avengers: Doomsday
71%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
21%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
4%
Toy Story 5
3%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
The Odyssey
1%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
Avengers: Doomsday 71%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 21%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 3.5%
Toy Story 5 3.0%
$12,880 Vol.
$12,880 Vol.
2026/12/31
Avengers: Doomsday
$715 Vol.
71%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$585 Vol.
21%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$798 Vol.
4%
Toy Story 5
$495 Vol.
3%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$448 Vol.
1%
The Odyssey
$481 Vol.
1%
Dune: Messiah
$512 Vol.
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$482 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday commands the market’s leading 70% implied probability thanks to its positioning as the next major MCU crossover event, with Robert Downey Jr. returning as Doctor Doom fueling massive franchise anticipation ahead of its December 18 release. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 20.5% on the strength of Tom Holland’s proven draw and its July 31 slot, yet trails due to the scale of Avengers-level hype. Family-oriented titles like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Toy Story 5 capture modest shares through reliable animated appeal, while later entries such as Dune: Messiah and Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu remain distant factors. Industry tracking and early pre-release buzz continue to reinforce Doomsday’s frontrunner status as traders weigh holiday blockbuster potential against summer competition.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
音量
$12,880終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday commands the market’s leading 70% implied probability thanks to its positioning as the next major MCU crossover event, with Robert Downey Jr. returning as Doctor Doom fueling massive franchise anticipation ahead of its December 18 release. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 20.5% on the strength of Tom Holland’s proven draw and its July 31 slot, yet trails due to the scale of Avengers-level hype. Family-oriented titles like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Toy Story 5 capture modest shares through reliable animated appeal, while later entries such as Dune: Messiah and Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu remain distant factors. Industry tracking and early pre-release buzz continue to reinforce Doomsday’s frontrunner status as traders weigh holiday blockbuster potential against summer competition.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$12,880終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday commands the market’s leading 70% implied probability thanks to its positioning as the next major MCU crossover event, with Robert Downey Jr. returning as Doctor Doom fueling massive franchise anticipation ahead of its December 18 release. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 20.5% on the strength of Tom Holland’s proven draw and its July 31 slot, yet trails due to the scale of Avengers-level hype. Family-oriented titles like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Toy Story 5 capture modest shares through reliable animated appeal, while later entries such as Dune: Messiah and Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu remain distant factors. Industry tracking and early pre-release buzz continue to reinforce Doomsday’s frontrunner status as traders weigh holiday blockbuster potential against summer competition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問