Trader consensus on Polymarket favors "No IPO before 2028" at a 49.5% implied probability, reflecting Perplexity AI's ample runway from its September 2025 Series E funding at a $20 billion private valuation, which fueled $200 million in annual recurring revenue and ambitious $656 million targets for 2026 via subscriptions and enterprise sales. The AI search engine's model-agnostic orchestration—routing queries across OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI large language models—drove launches like Perplexity Computer for custom tool-building, but faces headwinds from rivals integrating similar capabilities and a fresh lawsuit alleging unauthorized data sharing with Meta and Google. Secondary shares traded at $69.54 on April 2 signal sustained private demand, pricing mid-cap IPO outcomes like 40B–75B if public markets materialize post-2027 amid competitive consolidation risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2028年以前にIPOなし 50%
400億～500億 16.8%
500億〜750億 7.8%
1000億ドル超 4.5%
$124,356 Vol.
$124,356 Vol.
2027/12/31
＜200億ドル
3%
200億〜300億ドル
3%
300億〜400億ドル
3%
400億～500億
23%
500億〜750億
25%
750億～1,000億ドル
4%
1000億ドル超
5%
2028年以前にIPOなし
50%
2028年以前にIPOなし 50%
400億～500億 16.8%
500億〜750億 7.8%
1000億ドル超 4.5%
$124,356 Vol.
$124,356 Vol.
2027/12/31
＜200億ドル
$4,383 Vol.
3%
200億〜300億ドル
$5,711 Vol.
3%
300億〜400億ドル
$0 Vol.
3%
400億～500億
$0 Vol.
23%
500億〜750億
$6,171 Vol.
25%
750億～1,000億ドル
$3,177 Vol.
4%
1000億ドル超
$0 Vol.
5%
2028年以前にIPOなし
$104,914 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors "No IPO before 2028" at a 49.5% implied probability, reflecting Perplexity AI's ample runway from its September 2025 Series E funding at a $20 billion private valuation, which fueled $200 million in annual recurring revenue and ambitious $656 million targets for 2026 via subscriptions and enterprise sales. The AI search engine's model-agnostic orchestration—routing queries across OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI large language models—drove launches like Perplexity Computer for custom tool-building, but faces headwinds from rivals integrating similar capabilities and a fresh lawsuit alleging unauthorized data sharing with Meta and Google. Secondary shares traded at $69.54 on April 2 signal sustained private demand, pricing mid-cap IPO outcomes like 40B–75B if public markets materialize post-2027 amid competitive consolidation risks.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
音量
$124,356終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors "No IPO before 2028" at a 49.5% implied probability, reflecting Perplexity AI's ample runway from its September 2025 Series E funding at a $20 billion private valuation, which fueled $200 million in annual recurring revenue and ambitious $656 million targets for 2026 via subscriptions and enterprise sales. The AI search engine's model-agnostic orchestration—routing queries across OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI large language models—drove launches like Perplexity Computer for custom tool-building, but faces headwinds from rivals integrating similar capabilities and a fresh lawsuit alleging unauthorized data sharing with Meta and Google. Secondary shares traded at $69.54 on April 2 signal sustained private demand, pricing mid-cap IPO outcomes like 40B–75B if public markets materialize post-2027 amid competitive consolidation risks.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$124,356終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors "No IPO before 2028" at a 49.5% implied probability, reflecting Perplexity AI's ample runway from its September 2025 Series E funding at a $20 billion private valuation, which fueled $200 million in annual recurring revenue and ambitious $656 million targets for 2026 via subscriptions and enterprise sales. The AI search engine's model-agnostic orchestration—routing queries across OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI large language models—drove launches like Perplexity Computer for custom tool-building, but faces headwinds from rivals integrating similar capabilities and a fresh lawsuit alleging unauthorized data sharing with Meta and Google. Secondary shares traded at $69.54 on April 2 signal sustained private demand, pricing mid-cap IPO outcomes like 40B–75B if public markets materialize post-2027 amid competitive consolidation risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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