Market icon

2026年のOpenAIの評価額は$ 1 T +ですか?

Market icon

2026年のOpenAIの評価額は$ 1 T +ですか?

12月 31

12月 31

はい

78% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

78% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's trader consensus implies a 78% probability of surpassing $1 trillion valuation by year-end 2026, propelled by its record $122 billion funding round closed March 31 at an $852 billion post-money valuation—backed by Amazon, Nvidia, SoftBank, and Microsoft, including $3 billion from retail investors. This leap from February's $730 billion pre-money mark reflects surging revenue at a $24 billion annual run rate, 900 million weekly ChatGPT users, and enterprise adoption of advanced large language models like GPT-5.4. High compute demands and $14 billion projected 2026 losses temper enthusiasm, but a potential late-2026 IPO or follow-on round could bridge the gap amid competitive AI positioning against Anthropic and xAI.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$9,787
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's trader consensus implies a 78% probability of surpassing $1 trillion valuation by year-end 2026, propelled by its record $122 billion funding round closed March 31 at an $852 billion post-money valuation—backed by Amazon, Nvidia, SoftBank, and Microsoft, including $3 billion from retail investors. This leap from February's $730 billion pre-money mark reflects surging revenue at a $24 billion annual run rate, 900 million weekly ChatGPT users, and enterprise adoption of advanced large language models like GPT-5.4. High compute demands and $14 billion projected 2026 losses temper enthusiasm, but a potential late-2026 IPO or follow-on round could bridge the gap amid competitive AI positioning against Anthropic and xAI.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$9,787
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2026年のOpenAIの評価額は$ 1 T +ですか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「OpenAI の評価額が2026年に1兆ドルを超えるか?」で78%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、78¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に78%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「2026年のOpenAIの評価額は$ 1 T +ですか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jan 29, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「2026年のOpenAIの評価額は$ 1 T +ですか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年のOpenAIの評価額は$ 1 T +ですか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「OpenAI の評価額が2026年に1兆ドルを超えるか?」で78%であり、市場がこの結果に78%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年のOpenAIの評価額は$ 1 T +ですか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。