Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Meta (META) a strong implied probability of closing above the end-of-March threshold, propelled by robust Q4 earnings that beat expectations with 25% revenue growth from advertising amid AI-enhanced targeting tools like Llama 3.1 integrations across Instagram and WhatsApp. Recent stock momentum, up 10% post-earnings, reflects optimism over cost-cutting in Reality Labs and competitive edge against TikTok amid U.S. regulatory scrutiny. However, risks loom from broader market volatility, potential Fed signals, and antitrust probes; watch March 28 CPI data and any pre-Q1 guidance leaks, as META hovers near all-time highs with historical EOM volatility averaging 3-5%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$11,931 Vol.
$540
93%
$560
87%
$580
48%
600ドル
35%
$620
44%
$640
33%
$660
6%
$680
8%
700ドル
50%
$720
2%
$740
9%
$760
1%
$780
1%
$11,931 Vol.
$540
93%
$560
87%
$580
48%
600ドル
35%
$620
44%
$640
33%
$660
6%
$680
8%
700ドル
50%
$720
2%
$740
9%
$760
1%
$780
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
マーケット開始日: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Meta (META) a strong implied probability of closing above the end-of-March threshold, propelled by robust Q4 earnings that beat expectations with 25% revenue growth from advertising amid AI-enhanced targeting tools like Llama 3.1 integrations across Instagram and WhatsApp. Recent stock momentum, up 10% post-earnings, reflects optimism over cost-cutting in Reality Labs and competitive edge against TikTok amid U.S. regulatory scrutiny. However, risks loom from broader market volatility, potential Fed signals, and antitrust probes; watch March 28 CPI data and any pre-Q1 guidance leaks, as META hovers near all-time highs with historical EOM volatility averaging 3-5%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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