Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 52% probability that Apple (AAPL) will close the week of March 23, 2025, above $230, driven primarily by current shares trading at $228 amid AI-fueled tech optimism and anticipated Fed rate cuts. AAPL has gained 1.8% week-to-date on strong services revenue growth (up 14% YoY last quarter) offsetting softer iPhone demand in China, where sales dipped 2% recently per Counterpoint data. Key upcoming catalysts include the FOMC meeting March 18-19 (65% odds of 25bps cut via CME FedWatch) and March 12 CPI release, which could propel Nasdaq if softer than 2.5% forecast; below-expectation China tariffs pose downside risk, with historical March-week volatility at 2.1% for AAPL.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$220
96%
$225
90%
$230
90%
$235
93%
$240
81%
$245
66%
$250
45%
$255
26%
$260
14%
$265
9%
$270
7%
$275
11%
$280
14%
$336 Vol.
$220
96%
$225
90%
$230
90%
$235
93%
$240
81%
$245
66%
$250
45%
$255
26%
$260
14%
$265
9%
$270
7%
$275
11%
$280
14%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 52% probability that Apple (AAPL) will close the week of March 23, 2025, above $230, driven primarily by current shares trading at $228 amid AI-fueled tech optimism and anticipated Fed rate cuts. AAPL has gained 1.8% week-to-date on strong services revenue growth (up 14% YoY last quarter) offsetting softer iPhone demand in China, where sales dipped 2% recently per Counterpoint data. Key upcoming catalysts include the FOMC meeting March 18-19 (65% odds of 25bps cut via CME FedWatch) and March 12 CPI release, which could propel Nasdaq if softer than 2.5% forecast; below-expectation China tariffs pose downside risk, with historical March-week volatility at 2.1% for AAPL.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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