Trader sentiment on Palantir (PLTR) closing the week of March 23 tilts bearish at 33.5% implied probability below $146, driven by stretched valuations—trading at over 50x forward sales amid cooling AI hype—offset by 21% odds above $164 on commercial revenue acceleration from recent Q4 earnings beat and new government contracts. The fragmented bin probabilities, clustering 10-11.5% across $146-$164, underscore uncertainty from Nasdaq volatility, potential tech rotation, and upcoming CPI data March 27 that could sway Fed rate cut expectations. With shares hovering near $152, key differentiators include sustained AIP platform adoption for upside versus insider sales and market correction risks for downside.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日146ドル未満 34%
>$164 21%
$158-$160 12%
$148〜$150 11%
146ドル未満
34%
$146~$148
11%
$148〜$150
11%
$150〜$152
11%
$152〜$154
11%
$154~$156
10%
$156~$158
10%
$158-$160
12%
$160-$162
11%
$162-$164
10%
>$164
21%
146ドル未満 34%
>$164 21%
$158-$160 12%
$148〜$150 11%
146ドル未満
34%
$146~$148
11%
$148〜$150
11%
$150〜$152
11%
$152〜$154
11%
$154~$156
10%
$156~$158
10%
$158-$160
12%
$160-$162
11%
$162-$164
10%
>$164
21%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Palantir (PLTR) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Palantir (PLTR) closing the week of March 23 tilts bearish at 33.5% implied probability below $146, driven by stretched valuations—trading at over 50x forward sales amid cooling AI hype—offset by 21% odds above $164 on commercial revenue acceleration from recent Q4 earnings beat and new government contracts. The fragmented bin probabilities, clustering 10-11.5% across $146-$164, underscore uncertainty from Nasdaq volatility, potential tech rotation, and upcoming CPI data March 27 that could sway Fed rate cut expectations. With shares hovering near $152, key differentiators include sustained AIP platform adoption for upside versus insider sales and market correction risks for downside.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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