Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Apple's week-of-March-23 close above $270 at a leading 38.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of the $245-$250 bucket at 30%, signaling tight competition driven by current trading around $228 amid tech sector volatility. Key bullish catalysts include robust services revenue growth (up 14% YoY in Q4) and anticipation of AI features boosting iPhone upgrades, potentially propelling Nasdaq leaders higher post-FOMC rate decisions. Bearish pressures stem from China sales weakness (down 6% in recent quarter) and antitrust scrutiny, capping upside; a break above $235 resistance could favor >$270 odds, while sub-$240 support tests demand resilience ahead of April earnings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$270超 39%
$245〜$250 30%
$250~$255 28%
$240~$245 26%
$225未満
11%
$225〜$230
10%
$230~$235
10%
$235〜$240
16%
$240~$245
26%
$245〜$250
30%
$250~$255
28%
$255~$260
25%
$260-$265
24%
$265〜$270
22%
$270超
39%
$270超 39%
$245〜$250 30%
$250~$255 28%
$240~$245 26%
$225未満
11%
$225〜$230
10%
$230~$235
10%
$235〜$240
16%
$240~$245
26%
$245〜$250
30%
$250~$255
28%
$255~$260
25%
$260-$265
24%
$265〜$270
22%
$270超
39%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Apple's week-of-March-23 close above $270 at a leading 38.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of the $245-$250 bucket at 30%, signaling tight competition driven by current trading around $228 amid tech sector volatility. Key bullish catalysts include robust services revenue growth (up 14% YoY in Q4) and anticipation of AI features boosting iPhone upgrades, potentially propelling Nasdaq leaders higher post-FOMC rate decisions. Bearish pressures stem from China sales weakness (down 6% in recent quarter) and antitrust scrutiny, capping upside; a break above $235 resistance could favor >$270 odds, while sub-$240 support tests demand resilience ahead of April earnings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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