Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Microsoft (MSFT) closing the week of March 23 in the $350-$360 range, driven by the stock's current trading level near $355 amid stabilizing post-earnings momentum and muted volatility. Recent Q1 FY2025 results showed Azure cloud revenue surging 33% year-over-year on AI demand, supporting share price consolidation after a pullback from $370 highs on profit-taking and broader tech sector rotation. Low VIX readings and absence of near-term catalysts like FOMC meetings reinforce this tight pricing, with historical weekly ranges averaging under 3% recently. Challenges could arise from unexpected macroeconomic data, such as hotter-than-expected CPI sparking rate hike fears, or MSFT-specific antitrust updates pushing shares below support at $350.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$350～$360 100.0%
340ドル未満 <1%
$340〜$350 <1%
$360～$370 <1%
$26,630 Vol.
$26,630 Vol.
2026/03/27
340ドル未満
いいえ
$340〜$350
いいえ
$350～$360
はい
$360～$370
いいえ
$370～$380
いいえ
$380～$390
いいえ
$390～$400
いいえ
$400～$410
いいえ
$410〜$420
いいえ
$420～$430
いいえ
430ドル超
いいえ
$350～$360 100.0%
340ドル未満 <1%
$340〜$350 <1%
$360～$370 <1%
$26,630 Vol.
$26,630 Vol.
2026/03/27
340ドル未満
$986 Vol.
いいえ
$340〜$350
$2,104 Vol.
いいえ
$350～$360
$2,562 Vol.
はい
$360～$370
$9,421 Vol.
いいえ
$370～$380
$3,096 Vol.
いいえ
$380～$390
$1,193 Vol.
いいえ
$390～$400
$1,510 Vol.
いいえ
$400～$410
$1,517 Vol.
いいえ
$410〜$420
$1,267 Vol.
いいえ
$420～$430
$1,494 Vol.
いいえ
430ドル超
$1,480 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Microsoft (MSFT) closing the week of March 23 in the $350-$360 range, driven by the stock's current trading level near $355 amid stabilizing post-earnings momentum and muted volatility. Recent Q1 FY2025 results showed Azure cloud revenue surging 33% year-over-year on AI demand, supporting share price consolidation after a pullback from $370 highs on profit-taking and broader tech sector rotation. Low VIX readings and absence of near-term catalysts like FOMC meetings reinforce this tight pricing, with historical weekly ranges averaging under 3% recently. Challenges could arise from unexpected macroeconomic data, such as hotter-than-expected CPI sparking rate hike fears, or MSFT-specific antitrust updates pushing shares below support at $350.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
音量
$26,630終了日
2026/03/27マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Microsoft (MSFT) closing the week of March 23 in the $350-$360 range, driven by the stock's current trading level near $355 amid stabilizing post-earnings momentum and muted volatility. Recent Q1 FY2025 results showed Azure cloud revenue surging 33% year-over-year on AI demand, supporting share price consolidation after a pullback from $370 highs on profit-taking and broader tech sector rotation. Low VIX readings and absence of near-term catalysts like FOMC meetings reinforce this tight pricing, with historical weekly ranges averaging under 3% recently. Challenges could arise from unexpected macroeconomic data, such as hotter-than-expected CPI sparking rate hike fears, or MSFT-specific antitrust updates pushing shares below support at $350.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$26,630終了日
2026/03/27マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Microsoft (MSFT) closing the week of March 23 in the $350-$360 range, driven by the stock's current trading level near $355 amid stabilizing post-earnings momentum and muted volatility. Recent Q1 FY2025 results showed Azure cloud revenue surging 33% year-over-year on AI demand, supporting share price consolidation after a pullback from $370 highs on profit-taking and broader tech sector rotation. Low VIX readings and absence of near-term catalysts like FOMC meetings reinforce this tight pricing, with historical weekly ranges averaging under 3% recently. Challenges could arise from unexpected macroeconomic data, such as hotter-than-expected CPI sparking rate hike fears, or MSFT-specific antitrust updates pushing shares below support at $350.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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