Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices a modest edge for NVIDIA (NVDA) closing the week of March 23 above key thresholds like $150, with implied probabilities around 55-65% reflecting post-GTC conference momentum from March 18-20. Primary driver: anticipated Blackwell GPU production ramps and AI inference demand updates at GTC, building on Q4 FY25 earnings where revenue surged 94% YoY to $39B amid hyperscaler capex. Current spot hovers near $142, up 2% weekly, but macro risks loom from the March 19 FOMC dot plot potentially signaling fewer 2025 rate cuts (traders bet ~70bps total). Resolution hinges on Friday March 28 close; breach above $145 VWAP signals bullish conviction, echoing historical +4% average post-GTC pops.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$150
90%
$155
90%
$160
94%
$165
84%
$170
67%
$175
44%
$180
26%
185ドル
16%
190ドル
11%
$195
8%
$200
9%
$205
10%
$210
10%
$10 Vol.
$150
90%
$155
90%
$160
94%
$165
84%
$170
67%
$175
44%
$180
26%
185ドル
16%
190ドル
11%
$195
8%
$200
9%
$205
10%
$210
10%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket prices a modest edge for NVIDIA (NVDA) closing the week of March 23 above key thresholds like $150, with implied probabilities around 55-65% reflecting post-GTC conference momentum from March 18-20. Primary driver: anticipated Blackwell GPU production ramps and AI inference demand updates at GTC, building on Q4 FY25 earnings where revenue surged 94% YoY to $39B amid hyperscaler capex. Current spot hovers near $142, up 2% weekly, but macro risks loom from the March 19 FOMC dot plot potentially signaling fewer 2025 rate cuts (traders bet ~70bps total). Resolution hinges on Friday March 28 close; breach above $145 VWAP signals bullish conviction, echoing historical +4% average post-GTC pops.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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