Polymarket traders price a 59.5% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing the week of March 23 between $200-$210, with $205-$210 edging ahead at 31%, reflecting balanced sentiment amid AWS-driven upside and e-commerce headwinds. Recent Q4 earnings beat expectations on 13% revenue growth to $188 billion, fueled by 19% AWS expansion, yet heavy AI capex ($75 billion planned for 2025) tempers near-term gains, keeping shares volatile around $192 intraday. Competitive pressures from low-cost rivals like Temu intensify margin scrutiny, while broader Magnificent Seven rotation and Fed rate cut anticipation (post-March FOMC) support modest upside; watch Friday's consumer sentiment data for resolution cues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$205〜$210 32%
$200~$205 30%
$210〜$215 25%
195ドル〜200ドル 15%
185ドル未満
11%
185ドル〜190ドル
11%
$190~$195
10%
195ドル〜200ドル
15%
$200~$205
30%
$205〜$210
32%
$210〜$215
25%
$215〜$220
11%
$220~$225
8%
$225~$230
11%
230ドル超
7%
$205〜$210 32%
$200~$205 30%
$210〜$215 25%
195ドル〜200ドル 15%
185ドル未満
11%
185ドル〜190ドル
11%
$190~$195
10%
195ドル〜200ドル
15%
$200~$205
30%
$205〜$210
32%
$210〜$215
25%
$215〜$220
11%
$220~$225
8%
$225~$230
11%
230ドル超
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 59.5% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing the week of March 23 between $200-$210, with $205-$210 edging ahead at 31%, reflecting balanced sentiment amid AWS-driven upside and e-commerce headwinds. Recent Q4 earnings beat expectations on 13% revenue growth to $188 billion, fueled by 19% AWS expansion, yet heavy AI capex ($75 billion planned for 2025) tempers near-term gains, keeping shares volatile around $192 intraday. Competitive pressures from low-cost rivals like Temu intensify margin scrutiny, while broader Magnificent Seven rotation and Fed rate cut anticipation (post-March FOMC) support modest upside; watch Friday's consumer sentiment data for resolution cues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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