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財務·ファイナンス報酬300

S&P 500 （ SPX ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？

Market icon
財務·ファイナンス報酬300

S&P 500 （ SPX ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？

Mar 31

Mar 31

$71,192 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$71,192 Vol.

Polymarket

7,100ドル超

$1,920 Vol.

1%

7,000ドル超

$1,804 Vol.

2%

6,900ドル超

$11,927 Vol.

3%

$6,800超

$1,555 Vol.

1%

6,700ドル超

$11,488 Vol.

4%

＞$6,600

$25,684 Vol.

11%

6,500ドル超

$17,053 Vol.

28%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."The S&P 500 index stands near 5,800 as of late March, buoyed by robust Q4 earnings from technology leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, which beat revenue expectations amid AI-driven demand, alongside cooling inflation pressures evidenced by February CPI at 2.8% year-over-year, below consensus forecasts. Federal Reserve Chair Powell's recent testimony reinforced a patient monetary policy stance, with Fed funds futures implying a 70 basis points rate cut trajectory through year-end, supporting elevated equity valuations despite high Treasury yields around 4.3% on the 10-year note. Traders eye the March 28 PCE inflation release and nonfarm payrolls data as pivotal catalysts ahead of March 31 resolution, with historical March seasonality favoring modest gains amid volatility from fiscal policy debates.

The S&P 500 index stands near 5,800 as of late March, buoyed by robust Q4 earnings from technology leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, which beat revenue expectations amid AI-driven demand, alongside cooling inflation pressures evidenced by February CPI at 2.8% year-over-year, below consensus forecasts. Federal Reserve Chair Powell's recent testimony reinforced a patient monetary policy stance, with Fed funds futures implying a 70 basis points rate cut trajectory through year-end, supporting elevated equity valuations despite high Treasury yields around 4.3% on the 10-year note. Traders eye the March 28 PCE inflation release and nonfarm payrolls data as pivotal catalysts ahead of March 31 resolution, with historical March seasonality favoring modest gains amid volatility from fiscal policy debates.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."The S&P 500 index stands near 5,800 as of late March, buoyed by robust Q4 earnings from technology leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, which beat revenue expectations amid AI-driven demand, alongside cooling inflation pressures evidenced by February CPI at 2.8% year-over-year, below consensus forecasts. Federal Reserve Chair Powell's recent testimony reinforced a patient monetary policy stance, with Fed funds futures implying a 70 basis points rate cut trajectory through year-end, supporting elevated equity valuations despite high Treasury yields around 4.3% on the 10-year note. Traders eye the March 28 PCE inflation release and nonfarm payrolls data as pivotal catalysts ahead of March 31 resolution, with historical March seasonality favoring modest gains amid volatility from fiscal policy debates.

The S&P 500 index stands near 5,800 as of late March, buoyed by robust Q4 earnings from technology leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, which beat revenue expectations amid AI-driven demand, alongside cooling inflation pressures evidenced by February CPI at 2.8% year-over-year, below consensus forecasts. Federal Reserve Chair Powell's recent testimony reinforced a patient monetary policy stance, with Fed funds futures implying a 70 basis points rate cut trajectory through year-end, supporting elevated equity valuations despite high Treasury yields around 4.3% on the 10-year note. Traders eye the March 28 PCE inflation release and nonfarm payrolls data as pivotal catalysts ahead of March 31 resolution, with historical March seasonality favoring modest gains amid volatility from fiscal policy debates.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「S&P 500 （ SPX ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「6,500ドル超」で28%、次いで「＞$6,600」が11%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、28¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に28%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「S&P 500 （ SPX ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？」は$71.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「S&P 500 （ SPX ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「S&P 500 （ SPX ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「6,500ドル超」で28%であり、市場がこの結果に28%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「＞$6,600」で11%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「S&P 500 （ SPX ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。