Market icon
財務·ファイナンス報酬300

S&P 500 （ SPX ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？

Market icon
財務·ファイナンス報酬300

S&P 500 （ SPX ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？

Mar 31

Mar 31

$61,351 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$61,351 Vol.

Polymarket

7,100ドル超

$934 Vol.

1%

7,000ドル超

$0 Vol.

3%

6,900ドル超

$11,756 Vol.

2%

$6,800超

$1,231 Vol.

4%

6,700ドル超

$9,398 Vol.

16%

＞$6,600

$22,859 Vol.

38%

6,500ドル超

$15,173 Vol.

58%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment on S&P 500 year-end positioning reflects robust post-election optimism, with the index surging over 5% since November 5 to new record highs above 5,900 amid expectations of pro-growth policies under President-elect Trump, including tax cuts and deregulation. Strong Q3 earnings beats from megacap tech firms like Nvidia and broader market participation have bolstered gains, while the Federal Reserve's recent 25 basis point rate cut in November signals a shallower easing path amid resilient labor markets and moderating inflation (October CPI at 2.6% year-over-year). Upcoming catalysts include December FOMC projections, fiscal policy details from the lame-duck Congress, and early 2025 economic data like nonfarm payrolls, which could influence rate path and equity valuations heading into quarter-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$61,351
終了日
Mar 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment on S&P 500 year-end positioning reflects robust post-election optimism, with the index surging over 5% since November 5 to new record highs above 5,900 amid expectations of pro-growth policies under President-elect Trump, including tax cuts and deregulation. Strong Q3 earnings beats from megacap tech firms like Nvidia and broader market participation have bolstered gains, while the Federal Reserve's recent 25 basis point rate cut in November signals a shallower easing path amid resilient labor markets and moderating inflation (October CPI at 2.6% year-over-year). Upcoming catalysts include December FOMC projections, fiscal policy details from the lame-duck Congress, and early 2025 economic data like nonfarm payrolls, which could influence rate path and equity valuations heading into quarter-end.

Trader sentiment on S&P 500 year-end positioning reflects robust post-election optimism, with the index surging over 5% since November 5 to new record highs above 5,900 amid expectations of pro-growth policies under President-elect Trump, including tax cuts and deregulation. Strong Q3 earnings beats from megacap tech firms like Nvidia and broader market participation have bolstered gains, while the Federal Reserve's recent 25 basis point rate cut in November signals a shallower easing path amid resilient labor markets and moderating inflation (October CPI at 2.6% year-over-year). Upcoming catalysts include December FOMC projections, fiscal policy details from the lame-duck Congress, and early 2025 economic data like nonfarm payrolls, which could influence rate path and equity valuations heading into quarter-end.

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よくある質問

「S&P 500 （ SPX ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「6,500ドル超」で58%、次いで「＞$6,600」が38%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、58¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に58%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「S&P 500 （ SPX ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？」は$61.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「S&P 500 （ SPX ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「S&P 500 （ SPX ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「6,500ドル超」で58%であり、市場がこの結果に58%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「＞$6,600」で38%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「S&P 500 （ SPX ）は3月末の___を上回っていますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。