Trader consensus on Polymarket prices SpaceX at an 89.5% implied probability for 2026's largest IPO by market cap, fueled by confirmed mid-year listing plans targeting a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation after its February acquisition of xAI. The merger fuses SpaceX's Starlink satellite network and reusable rocket technology with xAI's frontier artificial intelligence models, enabling orbital data centers and dwarfing competitors amid explosive revenue growth from launches and broadband. xAI holds 25.5% odds from pre-merger standalone hype, while OpenAI (4.1%) and Anthropic (4.0%) lag on Q4 rumors but sub-$1 trillion projections. Stripe and Databricks trail below $200 billion amid delayed timelines. Imminent S-1 filing could solidify SpaceX's lead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日スペースX 90%
OpenAI 4.1%
Anthropic 4.0%
Discord <1%
$1,627,032 Vol.
$1,627,032 Vol.
2026/12/31
スペースX
90%
OpenAI
4%
Anthropic
4%
Discord
1%
クラーケン
1%
バイトダンス
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Databricks
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Waymo
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
スペースX 90%
OpenAI 4.1%
Anthropic 4.0%
Discord <1%
$1,627,032 Vol.
$1,627,032 Vol.
2026/12/31
スペースX
$180,503 Vol.
90%
OpenAI
$295,789 Vol.
4%
Anthropic
$343,232 Vol.
4%
Discord
$68,035 Vol.
1%
クラーケン
$374,192 Vol.
1%
バイトダンス
$84,227 Vol.
<1%
Stripe
$38,578 Vol.
<1%
Databricks
$67,839 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$53,243 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$24,996 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$44,397 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$52,001 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices SpaceX at an 89.5% implied probability for 2026's largest IPO by market cap, fueled by confirmed mid-year listing plans targeting a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation after its February acquisition of xAI. The merger fuses SpaceX's Starlink satellite network and reusable rocket technology with xAI's frontier artificial intelligence models, enabling orbital data centers and dwarfing competitors amid explosive revenue growth from launches and broadband. xAI holds 25.5% odds from pre-merger standalone hype, while OpenAI (4.1%) and Anthropic (4.0%) lag on Q4 rumors but sub-$1 trillion projections. Stripe and Databricks trail below $200 billion amid delayed timelines. Imminent S-1 filing could solidify SpaceX's lead.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
音量
$1,627,032終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices SpaceX at an 89.5% implied probability for 2026's largest IPO by market cap, fueled by confirmed mid-year listing plans targeting a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation after its February acquisition of xAI. The merger fuses SpaceX's Starlink satellite network and reusable rocket technology with xAI's frontier artificial intelligence models, enabling orbital data centers and dwarfing competitors amid explosive revenue growth from launches and broadband. xAI holds 25.5% odds from pre-merger standalone hype, while OpenAI (4.1%) and Anthropic (4.0%) lag on Q4 rumors but sub-$1 trillion projections. Stripe and Databricks trail below $200 billion amid delayed timelines. Imminent S-1 filing could solidify SpaceX's lead.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$1,627,032終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices SpaceX at an 89.5% implied probability for 2026's largest IPO by market cap, fueled by confirmed mid-year listing plans targeting a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation after its February acquisition of xAI. The merger fuses SpaceX's Starlink satellite network and reusable rocket technology with xAI's frontier artificial intelligence models, enabling orbital data centers and dwarfing competitors amid explosive revenue growth from launches and broadband. xAI holds 25.5% odds from pre-merger standalone hype, while OpenAI (4.1%) and Anthropic (4.0%) lag on Q4 rumors but sub-$1 trillion projections. Stripe and Databricks trail below $200 billion amid delayed timelines. Imminent S-1 filing could solidify SpaceX's lead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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