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How many seats will the Ensemble coalition win in the French election?

Market icon

How many seats will the Ensemble coalition win in the French election?

<50 100.0%

50-69 100.0%

70-89 100.0%

90-109 100.0%

Polymarket

$38,048 Vol.

<50 100.0%

50-69 100.0%

70-89 100.0%

90-109 100.0%

Polymarket

$38,048 Vol.

<50

$7,336 Vol.

No

50-69

$4,556 Vol.

No

70-89

$7,856 Vol.

No

90-109

$4,985 Vol.

No

110-129

$3,087 Vol.

No

130+

$10,229 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ensemble (Together for the Republic, Ensemble pour la République) coalition controls less than 50 seats in the National Assembly as a result of the 2024 French legislative election scheduled for June 30 and July 7, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the 2024 French legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this coalition/party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the coalition/party which comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Ensemble coalition in the National Assembly as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior. Any coalitions made with other parties or elected deputies after the results of the election are reported will not be considered for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information published through the website of the French Ministry of the Interior (https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/legislatives2024/), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$38,048
終了日
Jul 7, 2024
マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2024, 12:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ensemble (Together for the Republic, Ensemble pour la République) coalition controls less than 50 seats in the National Assembly as a result of the 2024 French legislative election scheduled for June 30 and July 7, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the 2024 French legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this coalition/party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the coalition/party which comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Ensemble coalition in the National Assembly as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior. Any coalitions made with other parties or elected deputies after the results of the election are reported will not be considered for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information published through the website of the French Ministry of the Interior (https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/legislatives2024/), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many seats will the Ensemble coalition win in the French election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "130+" at 100%, followed by "<50" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many seats will the Ensemble coalition win in the French election?" has generated $38K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 24, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many seats will the Ensemble coalition win in the French election?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many seats will the Ensemble coalition win in the French election?" is "130+" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<50" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many seats will the Ensemble coalition win in the French election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.