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How many seats will National Rally coalition win in French Election?

Market icon

How many seats will National Rally coalition win in French Election?

<175 100.0%

175-199 100.0%

200-224 100.0%

225-249 100.0%

Polymarket

$167,105 Vol.

<175 100.0%

175-199 100.0%

200-224 100.0%

225-249 100.0%

Polymarket

$167,105 Vol.

<175

$43,004 Vol.

Yes

175-199

$42,149 Vol.

No

200-224

$15,665 Vol.

No

225-249

$16,412 Vol.

No

250-274

$9,910 Vol.

No

275-299

$11,316 Vol.

No

300-324

$13,523 Vol.

No

325+

$15,125 Vol.

No

French legislative elections are are scheduled for June 30 and July 7, 2024. Elections for the National Assembly, which is the lower house of France's bicameral parliament, are conducted over 2 rounds of voting. A single representative is chosen for each of 577 constituencies, and the sum total of representatives makes up the National Assembly.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Rally coalition comprised of National Rally (RN, Rassemblement National) and Union of the far right (UXD, Union de l'extrême droite) wins less than 175 seats in the National Assembly as a result of the next French legislative election.

If voting in the next French legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Rally coalition in the National Assembly as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior. Any coalitions made with other parties or elected deputies after the results of the election are reported will not be considered for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information published through the website of the French Ministry of the Interior (https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/legislatives2024/), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$167,105
終了日
Jul 7, 2024
マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2024, 5:06 PM ET
French legislative elections are are scheduled for June 30 and July 7, 2024. Elections for the National Assembly, which is the lower house of France's bicameral parliament, are conducted over 2 rounds of voting. A single representative is chosen for each of 577 constituencies, and the sum total of representatives makes up the National Assembly. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Rally coalition comprised of National Rally (RN, Rassemblement National) and Union of the far right (UXD, Union de l'extrême droite) wins less than 175 seats in the National Assembly as a result of the next French legislative election. If voting in the next French legislative election does not occur by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Rally coalition in the National Assembly as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior. Any coalitions made with other parties or elected deputies after the results of the election are reported will not be considered for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information published through the website of the French Ministry of the Interior (https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/legislatives2024/), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many seats will National Rally coalition win in French Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<175" at 100%, followed by "175-199" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many seats will National Rally coalition win in French Election?" has generated $167.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 24, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many seats will National Rally coalition win in French Election?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many seats will National Rally coalition win in French Election?" is "<175" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "175-199" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many seats will National Rally coalition win in French Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.