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エコノミー·インフレーション

2026年のインフレ率はどのくらいになりますか？

Market icon
エコノミー·インフレーション

2026年のインフレ率はどのくらいになりますか？

$326,709 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$326,709 Vol.

Polymarket

3％超

$211,706 Vol.

98%

3.5％超

$30,268 Vol.

81%

4％超

$51,679 Vol.

46%

5％超

$9,863 Vol.

25%

6％超

$6,250 Vol.

13%

8％超

$12,164 Vol.

8%

10％超

$4,779 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment on peak 2026 inflation reflects steady Consumer Price Index readings at 2.4% year-over-year through February, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics' March 11 release, yet faces upward risks from the Federal Open Market Committee's March 18 dot plot, which lifted personal consumption expenditures inflation projections to 2.7% for the year amid spiking oil prices tied to the Iran conflict. Core drivers include persistent shelter costs, potential tariff impacts, and resilient labor markets, with private forecasts like the OECD's at 4.2% signaling tail risks. Upcoming March CPI on April 10 and April 28-29 FOMC meeting could recalibrate expectations, as markets price in a 2-3% range barring further geopolitical shocks.

Trader sentiment on peak 2026 inflation reflects steady Consumer Price Index readings at 2.4% year-over-year through February, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics' March 11 release, yet faces upward risks from the Federal Open Market Committee's March 18 dot plot, which lifted personal consumption expenditures inflation projections to 2.7% for the year amid spiking oil prices tied to the Iran conflict. Core drivers include persistent shelter costs, potential tariff impacts, and resilient labor markets, with private forecasts like the OECD's at 4.2% signaling tail risks. Upcoming March CPI on April 10 and April 28-29 FOMC meeting could recalibrate expectations, as markets price in a 2-3% range barring further geopolitical shocks.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment on peak 2026 inflation reflects steady Consumer Price Index readings at 2.4% year-over-year through February, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics' March 11 release, yet faces upward risks from the Federal Open Market Committee's March 18 dot plot, which lifted personal consumption expenditures inflation projections to 2.7% for the year amid spiking oil prices tied to the Iran conflict. Core drivers include persistent shelter costs, potential tariff impacts, and resilient labor markets, with private forecasts like the OECD's at 4.2% signaling tail risks. Upcoming March CPI on April 10 and April 28-29 FOMC meeting could recalibrate expectations, as markets price in a 2-3% range barring further geopolitical shocks.

Trader sentiment on peak 2026 inflation reflects steady Consumer Price Index readings at 2.4% year-over-year through February, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics' March 11 release, yet faces upward risks from the Federal Open Market Committee's March 18 dot plot, which lifted personal consumption expenditures inflation projections to 2.7% for the year amid spiking oil prices tied to the Iran conflict. Core drivers include persistent shelter costs, potential tariff impacts, and resilient labor markets, with private forecasts like the OECD's at 4.2% signaling tail risks. Upcoming March CPI on April 10 and April 28-29 FOMC meeting could recalibrate expectations, as markets price in a 2-3% range barring further geopolitical shocks.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「2026年のインフレ率はどのくらいになりますか？」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「3％超」で98%、次いで「3.5％超」が81%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、98¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に98%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年のインフレ率はどのくらいになりますか？」は$326.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 13, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2026年のインフレ率はどのくらいになりますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年のインフレ率はどのくらいになりますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「3％超」で98%であり、市場がこの結果に98%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「3.5％超」で81%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年のインフレ率はどのくらいになりますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。