Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Singapore's equatorial climate, with 33°C edging out 32°C as the market-implied highest temperature for March 26 at 45.5% versus 40.5%, driven by the latest National Environment Agency (NEA) forecasts projecting highs of 32–33°C amid lingering northeast monsoon influences and inter-monsoon transition. Recent model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show consensus around these values, differentiated by variable afternoon convective activity and sea breeze strength—stronger breezes and thundershowers favor 32°C, while reduced cloud cover allows 33°C peaks. Historical March averages hover near 32°C, with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C; watch NEA's daily update tomorrow for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on Changi Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
33°C 47%
32°C 41%
34°C 12%
31°C 3.4%
$73,929 Vol.
$73,929 Vol.
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
41%
33°C
47%
34°C
12%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 47%
32°C 41%
34°C 12%
31°C 3.4%
$73,929 Vol.
$73,929 Vol.
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
41%
33°C
47%
34°C
12%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Singapore's equatorial climate, with 33°C edging out 32°C as the market-implied highest temperature for March 26 at 45.5% versus 40.5%, driven by the latest National Environment Agency (NEA) forecasts projecting highs of 32–33°C amid lingering northeast monsoon influences and inter-monsoon transition. Recent model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show consensus around these values, differentiated by variable afternoon convective activity and sea breeze strength—stronger breezes and thundershowers favor 32°C, while reduced cloud cover allows 33°C peaks. Historical March averages hover near 32°C, with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C; watch NEA's daily update tomorrow for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on Changi Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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