Market icon

Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?

76-77°F 100.0%

63°F or below <1%

64-65°F <1%

66-67°F <1%

Polymarket

$172,254 Vol.

76-77°F 100.0%

63°F or below <1%

64-65°F <1%

66-67°F <1%

Polymarket

$172,254 Vol.

63°F or below

$9,508 Vol.

No

64-65°F

$15,698 Vol.

No

66-67°F

$5,497 Vol.

No

68-69°F

$8,437 Vol.

No

70-71°F

$4,259 Vol.

No

72-73°F

$6,408 Vol.

No

74-75°F

$4,995 Vol.

No

76-77°F

$52,195 Vol.

Yes

78-79°F

$20,336 Vol.

No

80-81°F

$23,301 Vol.

No

82°F or higher

$21,619 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) recorded a maximum temperature of 77°F on March 27, 2026, at 2:56 p.m. and 3:56 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 76-77°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This matched pre-event NOAA and ECMWF forecast model runs projecting mid-to-upper 70s under a high-pressure ridge moderated by persistent marine layer clouds, which produced mostly overcast skies and light winds, capping daytime heating after an early-month heat wave that peaked near 90°F downtown on March 20. Above the March climatological average high of 62°F, the reading reflects typical coastal boundary layer dynamics; realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control audits, unlikely given ASOS reliability.

Official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) recorded a maximum temperature of 77°F on March 27, 2026, at 2:56 p.m. and 3:56 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 76-77°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This matched pre-event NOAA and ECMWF forecast model runs projecting mid-to-upper 70s under a high-pressure ridge moderated by persistent marine layer clouds, which produced mostly overcast skies and light winds, capping daytime heating after an early-month heat wave that peaked near 90°F downtown on March 20. Above the March climatological average high of 62°F, the reading reflects typical coastal boundary layer dynamics; realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control audits, unlikely given ASOS reliability.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) recorded a maximum temperature of 77°F on March 27, 2026, at 2:56 p.m. and 3:56 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 76-77°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This matched pre-event NOAA and ECMWF forecast model runs projecting mid-to-upper 70s under a high-pressure ridge moderated by persistent marine layer clouds, which produced mostly overcast skies and light winds, capping daytime heating after an early-month heat wave that peaked near 90°F downtown on March 20. Above the March climatological average high of 62°F, the reading reflects typical coastal boundary layer dynamics; realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control audits, unlikely given ASOS reliability.

Official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) recorded a maximum temperature of 77°F on March 27, 2026, at 2:56 p.m. and 3:56 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 76-77°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This matched pre-event NOAA and ECMWF forecast model runs projecting mid-to-upper 70s under a high-pressure ridge moderated by persistent marine layer clouds, which produced mostly overcast skies and light winds, capping daytime heating after an early-month heat wave that peaked near 90°F downtown on March 20. Above the March climatological average high of 62°F, the reading reflects typical coastal boundary layer dynamics; realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality control audits, unlikely given ASOS reliability.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「76-77°F」で100%、次いで「63°F or below」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?」は$172.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?」の現在のフロントランナーは「76-77°F」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「63°F or below」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。