Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on March 20, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which converge on mild conditions under partly cloudy skies with highs peaking mid-afternoon around 52°F at Central Park. Official National Weather Service outlooks confirm this, citing a weak upper-level trough yielding light southerly flow and no significant warm advection, aligning with climatological March norms where daily highs average 48°F. This positioning holds firm absent realistic challengers like an unforeseen coastal front boosting temps 5-10°F or a stalled cold pool dropping below 50°F, both low-probability outliers per model spread.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月20日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?
3月20日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?
52~53°F 100.0%
43°F以下 <1%
44〜45°F <1%
46〜47°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
43°F以下
いいえ
44〜45°F
いいえ
46〜47°F
いいえ
48~49°F
いいえ
50〜51°F
いいえ
52~53°F
はい
54~55°F
いいえ
56~57°F
いいえ
58~59°F
いいえ
60〜61°F
いいえ
62°F以上
いいえ
52~53°F 100.0%
43°F以下 <1%
44〜45°F <1%
46〜47°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
43°F以下
いいえ
44〜45°F
いいえ
46〜47°F
いいえ
48~49°F
いいえ
50〜51°F
いいえ
52~53°F
はい
54~55°F
いいえ
56~57°F
いいえ
58~59°F
いいえ
60〜61°F
いいえ
62°F以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on March 20, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which converge on mild conditions under partly cloudy skies with highs peaking mid-afternoon around 52°F at Central Park. Official National Weather Service outlooks confirm this, citing a weak upper-level trough yielding light southerly flow and no significant warm advection, aligning with climatological March norms where daily highs average 48°F. This positioning holds firm absent realistic challengers like an unforeseen coastal front boosting temps 5-10°F or a stalled cold pool dropping below 50°F, both low-probability outliers per model spread.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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