Latest AEMET forecast guidance and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles project Madrid's highest temperature on March 28 at 17-18°C under a stable high-pressure ridge fostering mostly sunny conditions and NE winds around 15 km/h, anchoring trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability for 17°C and 36.5% for 18°C. Yesterday's observed maxima near 19°C across key stations like Ciudad Universitaria and Barajas Airport cooled overnight to 5°C minima, with diurnal heating expected to cap below 20°C due to continental air mass moderation. March climatology at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport averages 17°C on this date, aligning with current positioning. Uncertainty persists from possible afternoon clouds; hourly AEMET observations will sharpen resolution as midday peaks approach.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月28日のマドリードの最高気温は?
3月28日のマドリードの最高気温は?
17℃ 40%
18℃ 38%
19℃ 12.7%
20℃ 5.2%
$62,563 Vol.
$62,563 Vol.
13°C以下
<1%
14℃
<1%
15°C
1%
16℃
2%
17℃
40%
18℃
38%
19℃
13%
20℃
5%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C以上
<1%
17℃ 40%
18℃ 38%
19℃ 12.7%
20℃ 5.2%
$62,563 Vol.
$62,563 Vol.
13°C以下
<1%
14℃
<1%
15°C
1%
16℃
2%
17℃
40%
18℃
38%
19℃
13%
20℃
5%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET forecast guidance and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles project Madrid's highest temperature on March 28 at 17-18°C under a stable high-pressure ridge fostering mostly sunny conditions and NE winds around 15 km/h, anchoring trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability for 17°C and 36.5% for 18°C. Yesterday's observed maxima near 19°C across key stations like Ciudad Universitaria and Barajas Airport cooled overnight to 5°C minima, with diurnal heating expected to cap below 20°C due to continental air mass moderation. March climatology at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport averages 17°C on this date, aligning with current positioning. Uncertainty persists from possible afternoon clouds; hourly AEMET observations will sharpen resolution as midday peaks approach.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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