Latest National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard guidance clusters peak temperatures at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) around 70-73°F on March 28, fueling the tight trader split between 70-71°F (34% implied probability) and 72-73°F (35%), as persistent coastal marine layer—nighttime stratus clouds advected inland by moderate onshore flow—caps daytime heating while allowing partial afternoon burn-off. This setup follows the mid-March historic heat wave's collapse, when an amplified upper ridge drove record 90°F+ highs downtown; now, a weakening ridge and cool sea surface temperatures sustain the stratus deck, keeping coastal sites like KLAX 5-10°F cooler than inland valleys. Model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show minor spread in cloud persistence and wind shear, with resolution hinging on real-time observations through sunset at 7:10 PM PDT.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
70-71°F 35%
72-73°F 35%
68-69°F 10.6%
74-75°F 6%
$47,135 Vol.
$47,135 Vol.
67°F or below
3%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 35%
72-73°F 35%
68-69°F 10.6%
74-75°F 6%
$47,135 Vol.
$47,135 Vol.
67°F or below
3%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard guidance clusters peak temperatures at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) around 70-73°F on March 28, fueling the tight trader split between 70-71°F (34% implied probability) and 72-73°F (35%), as persistent coastal marine layer—nighttime stratus clouds advected inland by moderate onshore flow—caps daytime heating while allowing partial afternoon burn-off. This setup follows the mid-March historic heat wave's collapse, when an amplified upper ridge drove record 90°F+ highs downtown; now, a weakening ridge and cool sea surface temperatures sustain the stratus deck, keeping coastal sites like KLAX 5-10°F cooler than inland valleys. Model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show minor spread in cloud persistence and wind shear, with resolution hinging on real-time observations through sunset at 7:10 PM PDT.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問