Official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), the market's authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded Houston's highest temperature on April 3, 2026, at 84-85°F, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that range. This aligns with National Weather Service daily climatological summaries confirming the peak amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and seasonal influences including a warming spring pattern slightly above the early April climatological average of 78-80°F. Model forecasts from NOAA 24-48 hours prior had converged on mid-80s highs under high-pressure ridging, minimizing uncertainty. Barring rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—challenges to this positioning are negligible, with resolution imminent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on April 3?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 3?
84-85°F 100.0%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$73,441 Vol.
$73,441 Vol.
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$73,441 Vol.
$73,441 Vol.
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), the market's authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded Houston's highest temperature on April 3, 2026, at 84-85°F, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that range. This aligns with National Weather Service daily climatological summaries confirming the peak amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and seasonal influences including a warming spring pattern slightly above the early April climatological average of 78-80°F. Model forecasts from NOAA 24-48 hours prior had converged on mid-80s highs under high-pressure ridging, minimizing uncertainty. Barring rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—challenges to this positioning are negligible, with resolution imminent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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