National Weather Service forecasts peg Chicago O'Hare's high temperature near 49°F today amid a stout surface high pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light north-northeast winds of 5-10 mph, yielding closely matched trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability for 48-49°F and 31.5% for 50-51°F. Key differentiators stem from subtle model spreads—GFS leaning slightly cooler, ECMWF marginally warmer—coupled with uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, minor cloud variability, and peak solar heating timing mid-afternoon. Below the March 28 climatological normal of 52°F post-recent cold frontal passage, ongoing ASOS observations at the airport station will refine outcomes as diurnal cycles unfold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?
48-49°F 34%
50-51°F 32%
46-47°F 13%
52-53°F 8.7%
$84,209 Vol.
$84,209 Vol.
43°F or below
2%
44-45°F
4%
46-47°F
13%
48-49°F
34%
50-51°F
32%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62°F or higher
<1%
48-49°F 34%
50-51°F 32%
46-47°F 13%
52-53°F 8.7%
$84,209 Vol.
$84,209 Vol.
43°F or below
2%
44-45°F
4%
46-47°F
13%
48-49°F
34%
50-51°F
32%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts peg Chicago O'Hare's high temperature near 49°F today amid a stout surface high pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light north-northeast winds of 5-10 mph, yielding closely matched trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability for 48-49°F and 31.5% for 50-51°F. Key differentiators stem from subtle model spreads—GFS leaning slightly cooler, ECMWF marginally warmer—coupled with uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, minor cloud variability, and peak solar heating timing mid-afternoon. Below the March 28 climatological normal of 52°F post-recent cold frontal passage, ongoing ASOS observations at the airport station will refine outcomes as diurnal cycles unfold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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