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Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?

Market icon

Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$355,652 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$355,652 Vol.

On January 25, Donald Trump said he had been speaking to Egypt and Jordan about taking Palestinian refugees. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/26/world/middleeast/trump-gaza-jordan-egypt.html

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Egypt or Jordan announces their intention to accept or otherwise accept at least 100,000 Gazan refugees between them, either temporarily or long-term, between January 29 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note: This market's resolution is based on the sum total of Gazan refugees accepted by both Egypt and Jordan.

If Egypt or Jordan announce they will accept or otherwise accept an undisclosed number of Gazan refugees, this market will remain open until the resolution date or further announcements are made clarifying the number of refugees to be accepted, or the number is otherwise confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.

the primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the governments of Egypt and Jordan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$355,652
終了日
Mar 31, 2025
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
On January 25, Donald Trump said he had been speaking to Egypt and Jordan about taking Palestinian refugees. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/26/world/middleeast/trump-gaza-jordan-egypt.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if Egypt or Jordan announces their intention to accept or otherwise accept at least 100,000 Gazan refugees between them, either temporarily or long-term, between January 29 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note: This market's resolution is based on the sum total of Gazan refugees accepted by both Egypt and Jordan. If Egypt or Jordan announce they will accept or otherwise accept an undisclosed number of Gazan refugees, this market will remain open until the resolution date or further announcements are made clarifying the number of refugees to be accepted, or the number is otherwise confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting. the primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the governments of Egypt and Jordan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

On January 25, Donald Trump said he had been speaking to Egypt and Jordan about taking Palestinian refugees. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/26/world/middleeast/trump-gaza-jordan-egypt.html

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Egypt or Jordan announces their intention to accept or otherwise accept at least 100,000 Gazan refugees between them, either temporarily or long-term, between January 29 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note: This market's resolution is based on the sum total of Gazan refugees accepted by both Egypt and Jordan.

If Egypt or Jordan announce they will accept or otherwise accept an undisclosed number of Gazan refugees, this market will remain open until the resolution date or further announcements are made clarifying the number of refugees to be accepted, or the number is otherwise confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.

the primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the governments of Egypt and Jordan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$355,652
終了日
Mar 31, 2025
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
On January 25, Donald Trump said he had been speaking to Egypt and Jordan about taking Palestinian refugees. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/26/world/middleeast/trump-gaza-jordan-egypt.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if Egypt or Jordan announces their intention to accept or otherwise accept at least 100,000 Gazan refugees between them, either temporarily or long-term, between January 29 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note: This market's resolution is based on the sum total of Gazan refugees accepted by both Egypt and Jordan. If Egypt or Jordan announce they will accept or otherwise accept an undisclosed number of Gazan refugees, this market will remain open until the resolution date or further announcements are made clarifying the number of refugees to be accepted, or the number is otherwise confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting. the primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the governments of Egypt and Jordan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?" has generated $355.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.