President Daniel Noboa's bolstered standing after Ecuador's April 21 referendum—where voters backed his security and anti-crime proposals by wide margins—anchors the 93.5% "No" odds against his ouster by June 30. The plebiscite victory elevated his approval amid gang violence and state-of-emergency responses, sidelining opposition efforts in the National Assembly for impeachment or censure. No formal removal proceedings have advanced, with legislative friction limited to policy disputes rather than existential challenges, and his mandate runs through May 2025. Trader consensus reflects this stability, pricing minimal near-term disruption risk despite persistent security tensions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
音量
$624終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$624終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Daniel Noboa's bolstered standing after Ecuador's April 21 referendum—where voters backed his security and anti-crime proposals by wide margins—anchors the 93.5% "No" odds against his ouster by June 30. The plebiscite victory elevated his approval amid gang violence and state-of-emergency responses, sidelining opposition efforts in the National Assembly for impeachment or censure. No formal removal proceedings have advanced, with legislative friction limited to policy disputes rather than existential challenges, and his mandate runs through May 2025. Trader consensus reflects this stability, pricing minimal near-term disruption risk despite persistent security tensions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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