Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65% implied probability for June WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84, aligned with June 2026 futures trading near $89/bbl amid a geopolitical risk premium from U.S.-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Prices surged past $110/bbl last week on President Trump's threats of further strikes but plunged 16-18% on a two-week ceasefire announcement, settling front-month WTI at $96/bbl as of April 10. Lingering uncertainties over Hormuz tanker flows and damaged infrastructure sustain elevated levels, outweighing bearish oversupply forecasts for later 2026. Key catalysts include ceasefire negotiation outcomes and weekly EIA inventory data, with OPEC+ policy signals also in focus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日原油（ CL ）は6月に何に落ち着きますか？
原油（ CL ）は6月に何に落ち着きますか？
84ドル超 65%
$77〜$84 16%
$70〜$77 8.3%
$63〜$70 5.5%
$126,958 Vol.
$126,958 Vol.
2026/06/30
$42未満
3%
$42～$49
1%
$49-$56
2%
$56～$63
4%
$63〜$70
5%
$70〜$77
8%
$77〜$84
16%
84ドル超
65%
84ドル超 65%
$77〜$84 16%
$70〜$77 8.3%
$63〜$70 5.5%
$126,958 Vol.
$126,958 Vol.
2026/06/30
$42未満
$15,805 Vol.
3%
$42～$49
$4,217 Vol.
1%
$49-$56
$5,625 Vol.
2%
$56～$63
$5,284 Vol.
4%
$63〜$70
$18,503 Vol.
5%
$70〜$77
$6,657 Vol.
8%
$77〜$84
$9,635 Vol.
16%
84ドル超
$61,232 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65% implied probability for June WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84, aligned with June 2026 futures trading near $89/bbl amid a geopolitical risk premium from U.S.-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Prices surged past $110/bbl last week on President Trump's threats of further strikes but plunged 16-18% on a two-week ceasefire announcement, settling front-month WTI at $96/bbl as of April 10. Lingering uncertainties over Hormuz tanker flows and damaged infrastructure sustain elevated levels, outweighing bearish oversupply forecasts for later 2026. Key catalysts include ceasefire negotiation outcomes and weekly EIA inventory data, with OPEC+ policy signals also in focus.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
マーケット開始日： Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
音量
$126,958終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65% implied probability for June WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84, aligned with June 2026 futures trading near $89/bbl amid a geopolitical risk premium from U.S.-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Prices surged past $110/bbl last week on President Trump's threats of further strikes but plunged 16-18% on a two-week ceasefire announcement, settling front-month WTI at $96/bbl as of April 10. Lingering uncertainties over Hormuz tanker flows and damaged infrastructure sustain elevated levels, outweighing bearish oversupply forecasts for later 2026. Key catalysts include ceasefire negotiation outcomes and weekly EIA inventory data, with OPEC+ policy signals also in focus.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
音量
$126,958終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65% implied probability for June WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84, aligned with June 2026 futures trading near $89/bbl amid a geopolitical risk premium from U.S.-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Prices surged past $110/bbl last week on President Trump's threats of further strikes but plunged 16-18% on a two-week ceasefire announcement, settling front-month WTI at $96/bbl as of April 10. Lingering uncertainties over Hormuz tanker flows and damaged infrastructure sustain elevated levels, outweighing bearish oversupply forecasts for later 2026. Key catalysts include ceasefire negotiation outcomes and weekly EIA inventory data, with OPEC+ policy signals also in focus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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