Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz drove WTI crude prices sharply higher through early May 2026, with Brent averaging near $117 per barrel in April before moderating. Large inventory draws reported by the EIA, refinery utilization near 92 percent, and OPEC+ output discipline supported elevated levels into the mid-to-high $90s, though softer 2026 global demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the EIA, combined with a firm U.S. dollar under steady Federal Reserve policy, capped upside. WTI settled near $87.80 per barrel by late May as tentative ceasefire progress eased immediate risk premiums. Traders continue to monitor weekly EIA stockpile data, diplomatic updates on Hormuz reopenings, and any shifts in OPEC spare capacity for signals on near-term price direction.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,249,420 Vol.
↑ 200ドル
いいえ
↑ $150
いいえ
↑ $140
いいえ
↑ $130
いいえ
↑ 120ドル
いいえ
↑ 115ドル
いいえ
↑ $110
いいえ
↑ 105ドル
いいえ
↑ $100
いいえ
↑ $105
はい
↑ 100ドル
はい
↑ $100
はい
↓ 90ドル
はい
↑ $95
はい
↑ $105
はい
↑ 100ドル
はい
↑ 90ドル
はい
↓ $100
はい
↓ 95ドル
はい
↓ $95
はい
↓ 90ドル
はい
↓ $90
はい
↓ 85ドル
いいえ
↓ 80ドル
いいえ
↓ 70ドル
いいえ
↓ $60
いいえ
↓ $20
いいえ
↓ $40
いいえ
↓ 50ドル
いいえ
↓ 30ドル
いいえ
$40,249,420 Vol.
↑ 200ドル
いいえ
↑ $150
いいえ
↑ $140
いいえ
↑ $130
いいえ
↑ 120ドル
いいえ
↑ 115ドル
いいえ
↑ $110
いいえ
↑ 105ドル
いいえ
↑ $100
いいえ
↑ $105
はい
↑ 100ドル
はい
↑ $100
はい
↓ 90ドル
はい
↑ $95
はい
↑ $105
はい
↑ 100ドル
はい
↑ 90ドル
はい
↓ $100
はい
↓ 95ドル
はい
↓ $95
はい
↓ 90ドル
はい
↓ $90
はい
↓ 85ドル
いいえ
↓ 80ドル
いいえ
↓ 70ドル
いいえ
↓ $60
いいえ
↓ $20
いいえ
↓ $40
いいえ
↓ 50ドル
いいえ
↓ 30ドル
いいえ
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
マーケット開始日: Apr 30, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz drove WTI crude prices sharply higher through early May 2026, with Brent averaging near $117 per barrel in April before moderating. Large inventory draws reported by the EIA, refinery utilization near 92 percent, and OPEC+ output discipline supported elevated levels into the mid-to-high $90s, though softer 2026 global demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the EIA, combined with a firm U.S. dollar under steady Federal Reserve policy, capped upside. WTI settled near $87.80 per barrel by late May as tentative ceasefire progress eased immediate risk premiums. Traders continue to monitor weekly EIA stockpile data, diplomatic updates on Hormuz reopenings, and any shifts in OPEC spare capacity for signals on near-term price direction.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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