Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) June contract settling above $84, reflecting tight supply dynamics amid escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions, including Iran-related disruptions and lingering Strait of Hormuz risks that have prompted IEA to forecast a 3.9 million barrels-per-day global supply shortfall through 2026. The EIA's May 13 report confirmed a bullish 4.3 million barrel crude inventory draw for the week ending May 8—exceeding expectations—coupled with rising refinery inputs to 16.4 million barrels per day. OPEC+'s modest 188,000 bpd production hike for June appears symbolic and insufficient to offset risks, with June futures trading near $105 amid recent sharp gains. Watch next EIA release on May 20 for potential volatility ahead of expiration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日原油（ CL ）は6月に何に落ち着きますか？
原油（ CL ）は6月に何に落ち着きますか？
84ドル超 70%
$77〜$84 16%
$70〜$77 8.0%
$63〜$70 3.4%
$158,839 Vol.
$158,839 Vol.
2026/06/30
$42未満
2%
$42～$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56～$63
1%
$63〜$70
3%
$70〜$77
8%
$77〜$84
16%
84ドル超
70%
84ドル超 70%
$77〜$84 16%
$70〜$77 8.0%
$63〜$70 3.4%
$158,839 Vol.
$158,839 Vol.
2026/06/30
$42未満
$17,122 Vol.
2%
$42～$49
$5,884 Vol.
1%
$49-$56
$7,062 Vol.
1%
$56～$63
$6,826 Vol.
1%
$63〜$70
$20,482 Vol.
3%
$70〜$77
$11,924 Vol.
8%
$77〜$84
$13,163 Vol.
16%
84ドル超
$76,376 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) June contract settling above $84, reflecting tight supply dynamics amid escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions, including Iran-related disruptions and lingering Strait of Hormuz risks that have prompted IEA to forecast a 3.9 million barrels-per-day global supply shortfall through 2026. The EIA's May 13 report confirmed a bullish 4.3 million barrel crude inventory draw for the week ending May 8—exceeding expectations—coupled with rising refinery inputs to 16.4 million barrels per day. OPEC+'s modest 188,000 bpd production hike for June appears symbolic and insufficient to offset risks, with June futures trading near $105 amid recent sharp gains. Watch next EIA release on May 20 for potential volatility ahead of expiration.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
マーケット開始日： Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
音量
$158,839終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) June contract settling above $84, reflecting tight supply dynamics amid escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions, including Iran-related disruptions and lingering Strait of Hormuz risks that have prompted IEA to forecast a 3.9 million barrels-per-day global supply shortfall through 2026. The EIA's May 13 report confirmed a bullish 4.3 million barrel crude inventory draw for the week ending May 8—exceeding expectations—coupled with rising refinery inputs to 16.4 million barrels per day. OPEC+'s modest 188,000 bpd production hike for June appears symbolic and insufficient to offset risks, with June futures trading near $105 amid recent sharp gains. Watch next EIA release on May 20 for potential volatility ahead of expiration.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
音量
$158,839終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) June contract settling above $84, reflecting tight supply dynamics amid escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions, including Iran-related disruptions and lingering Strait of Hormuz risks that have prompted IEA to forecast a 3.9 million barrels-per-day global supply shortfall through 2026. The EIA's May 13 report confirmed a bullish 4.3 million barrel crude inventory draw for the week ending May 8—exceeding expectations—coupled with rising refinery inputs to 16.4 million barrels per day. OPEC+'s modest 188,000 bpd production hike for June appears symbolic and insufficient to offset risks, with June futures trading near $105 amid recent sharp gains. Watch next EIA release on May 20 for potential volatility ahead of expiration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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