Ciro Gomes holds the leading trader consensus in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent first-round polling leads of 44-47% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas at 32-34% in surveys released in late May and early June 2026. Gomes, a former state governor and national political figure now aligned with the PSDB, launched his pre-candidacy in mid-May, coinciding with upward momentum in voter intentions. Elmano de Freitas of the PT seeks reelection on his record since 2023, yet trails in simulated runoff scenarios by margins of 8 points. Minor candidates including Senator Eduardo Girão, former governor Camilo Santana, and others register single-digit or lower support, reflecting limited current polling traction. The October 4 first-round vote and any subsequent runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with additional surveys and alliance developments likely to influence positioning ahead of the election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 29%
Eduardo Girão 6.3%
カミロ・サンタナ 3.9%
$61,127 Vol.
$61,127 Vol.
2026/10/04
Ciro Gomes
63%
Elmano de Freitas
29%
Eduardo Girão
6%
カミロ・サンタナ
4%
Capitão Wagner
1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 29%
Eduardo Girão 6.3%
カミロ・サンタナ 3.9%
$61,127 Vol.
$61,127 Vol.
2026/10/04
Ciro Gomes
$38,604 Vol.
63%
Elmano de Freitas
$8,101 Vol.
29%
Eduardo Girão
$3,609 Vol.
6%
カミロ・サンタナ
$3,418 Vol.
4%
Capitão Wagner
$5,212 Vol.
1%
Roberto Cláudio
$2,183 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds the leading trader consensus in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent first-round polling leads of 44-47% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas at 32-34% in surveys released in late May and early June 2026. Gomes, a former state governor and national political figure now aligned with the PSDB, launched his pre-candidacy in mid-May, coinciding with upward momentum in voter intentions. Elmano de Freitas of the PT seeks reelection on his record since 2023, yet trails in simulated runoff scenarios by margins of 8 points. Minor candidates including Senator Eduardo Girão, former governor Camilo Santana, and others register single-digit or lower support, reflecting limited current polling traction. The October 4 first-round vote and any subsequent runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with additional surveys and alliance developments likely to influence positioning ahead of the election.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
音量
$61,127終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds the leading trader consensus in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent first-round polling leads of 44-47% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas at 32-34% in surveys released in late May and early June 2026. Gomes, a former state governor and national political figure now aligned with the PSDB, launched his pre-candidacy in mid-May, coinciding with upward momentum in voter intentions. Elmano de Freitas of the PT seeks reelection on his record since 2023, yet trails in simulated runoff scenarios by margins of 8 points. Minor candidates including Senator Eduardo Girão, former governor Camilo Santana, and others register single-digit or lower support, reflecting limited current polling traction. The October 4 first-round vote and any subsequent runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with additional surveys and alliance developments likely to influence positioning ahead of the election.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$61,127終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes holds the leading trader consensus in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to consistent first-round polling leads of 44-47% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas at 32-34% in surveys released in late May and early June 2026. Gomes, a former state governor and national political figure now aligned with the PSDB, launched his pre-candidacy in mid-May, coinciding with upward momentum in voter intentions. Elmano de Freitas of the PT seeks reelection on his record since 2023, yet trails in simulated runoff scenarios by margins of 8 points. Minor candidates including Senator Eduardo Girão, former governor Camilo Santana, and others register single-digit or lower support, reflecting limited current polling traction. The October 4 first-round vote and any subsequent runoff remain the key resolution triggers, with additional surveys and alliance developments likely to influence positioning ahead of the election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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