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icon for ペルナンブコ州知事選挙の勝者

ペルナンブコ州知事選挙の勝者

icon for ペルナンブコ州知事選挙の勝者

ペルナンブコ州知事選挙の勝者

ラケル・リラ 63%

ジョアン・カンポス 36%

イヴァン・モラエス <1%

Polymarket

$27,992 Vol.

ラケル・リラ 63%

ジョアン・カンポス 36%

イヴァン・モラエス <1%

Polymarket

$27,992 Vol.

icon for ラケル・リラ

ラケル・リラ

$12,222 Vol.

63%

ジョアン・カンポス

$13,221 Vol.

36%

イヴァン・モラエス

$2,549 Vol.

<1%

The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leads trader pricing for the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race at 63%, ahead of main challenger João Campos (PSB) at 36%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and others trailing sharply. Recent Genial/Quaest and similar surveys from July show Lyra at 43% versus Campos at 37% in first-round scenarios, reversing earlier 2025-early 2026 polling that had favored the Recife mayor. This shift reflects the incumbent's structural advantages, including name recognition from her 2022 victory and eligibility for a second term, while Campos's campaign faces the challenge of building broader statewide support beyond the capital. The October 4 first-round vote remains the key resolution trigger, with any runoff dynamics hinging on turnout among undecided voters and coalition alignments.

The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$27,992
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leads trader pricing for the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race at 63%, ahead of main challenger João Campos (PSB) at 36%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and others trailing sharply. Recent Genial/Quaest and similar surveys from July show Lyra at 43% versus Campos at 37% in first-round scenarios, reversing earlier 2025-early 2026 polling that had favored the Recife mayor. This shift reflects the incumbent's structural advantages, including name recognition from her 2022 victory and eligibility for a second term, while Campos's campaign faces the challenge of building broader statewide support beyond the capital. The October 4 first-round vote remains the key resolution trigger, with any runoff dynamics hinging on turnout among undecided voters and coalition alignments.

The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$27,992
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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よくある質問

「ペルナンブコ州知事選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ラケル・リラ」で63%、次いで「ジョアン・カンポス」が36%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、63¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に63%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ペルナンブコ州知事選挙の勝者」は$28Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ペルナンブコ州知事選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ペルナンブコ州知事選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ラケル・リラ」で63%であり、市場がこの結果に63%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジョアン・カンポス」で36%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ペルナンブコ州知事選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。