Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leads trader pricing for the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race at 63%, ahead of main challenger João Campos (PSB) at 36%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and others trailing sharply. Recent Genial/Quaest and similar surveys from July show Lyra at 43% versus Campos at 37% in first-round scenarios, reversing earlier 2025-early 2026 polling that had favored the Recife mayor. This shift reflects the incumbent's structural advantages, including name recognition from her 2022 victory and eligibility for a second term, while Campos's campaign faces the challenge of building broader statewide support beyond the capital. The October 4 first-round vote remains the key resolution trigger, with any runoff dynamics hinging on turnout among undecided voters and coalition alignments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ラケル・リラ 63%
ジョアン・カンポス 36%
イヴァン・モラエス <1%
$27,992 Vol.
$27,992 Vol.

ラケル・リラ
63%
ジョアン・カンポス
36%
イヴァン・モラエス
<1%
ラケル・リラ 63%
ジョアン・カンポス 36%
イヴァン・モラエス <1%
$27,992 Vol.
$27,992 Vol.

ラケル・リラ
63%
ジョアン・カンポス
36%
イヴァン・モラエス
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leads trader pricing for the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race at 63%, ahead of main challenger João Campos (PSB) at 36%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and others trailing sharply. Recent Genial/Quaest and similar surveys from July show Lyra at 43% versus Campos at 37% in first-round scenarios, reversing earlier 2025-early 2026 polling that had favored the Recife mayor. This shift reflects the incumbent's structural advantages, including name recognition from her 2022 victory and eligibility for a second term, while Campos's campaign faces the challenge of building broader statewide support beyond the capital. The October 4 first-round vote remains the key resolution trigger, with any runoff dynamics hinging on turnout among undecided voters and coalition alignments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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