Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey commands trader consensus at 95.3% implied probability to win the November 3, 2026, Massachusetts gubernatorial election, reflecting her consistent double-digit leads in recent University of New Hampshire polls from April 2026—52% to 32% over Republican frontrunner Michael Minogue, 51% to 29% against Brian Shortsleeve, and 53% to 32% versus Mike Kennealy—amid the state's strong Democratic lean and her unchallenged primary position. A May 3 federal appeals court ruling restricting mifepristone access via telehealth has spotlighted abortion divides, with Healey pledging to protect reproductive rights while Minogue's pro-life stance draws intra-GOP criticism from Shortsleeve, potentially alienating moderate voters ahead of the September 1 Republican primary. Scenarios like a major Healey scandal, economic downturn, or unified Republican surge could shift odds, though historical precedents favor incumbents in deep-blue states like Massachusetts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Massachusetts
Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Massachusetts
$24,287 Vol.
$24,287 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
95%
Repubblicano
6%
$24,287 Vol.
$24,287 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$12,015 Vol.
95%
Repubblicano
$12,272 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey commands trader consensus at 95.3% implied probability to win the November 3, 2026, Massachusetts gubernatorial election, reflecting her consistent double-digit leads in recent University of New Hampshire polls from April 2026—52% to 32% over Republican frontrunner Michael Minogue, 51% to 29% against Brian Shortsleeve, and 53% to 32% versus Mike Kennealy—amid the state's strong Democratic lean and her unchallenged primary position. A May 3 federal appeals court ruling restricting mifepristone access via telehealth has spotlighted abortion divides, with Healey pledging to protect reproductive rights while Minogue's pro-life stance draws intra-GOP criticism from Shortsleeve, potentially alienating moderate voters ahead of the September 1 Republican primary. Scenarios like a major Healey scandal, economic downturn, or unified Republican surge could shift odds, though historical precedents favor incumbents in deep-blue states like Massachusetts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$24,287Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey commands trader consensus at 95.3% implied probability to win the November 3, 2026, Massachusetts gubernatorial election, reflecting her consistent double-digit leads in recent University of New Hampshire polls from April 2026—52% to 32% over Republican frontrunner Michael Minogue, 51% to 29% against Brian Shortsleeve, and 53% to 32% versus Mike Kennealy—amid the state's strong Democratic lean and her unchallenged primary position. A May 3 federal appeals court ruling restricting mifepristone access via telehealth has spotlighted abortion divides, with Healey pledging to protect reproductive rights while Minogue's pro-life stance draws intra-GOP criticism from Shortsleeve, potentially alienating moderate voters ahead of the September 1 Republican primary. Scenarios like a major Healey scandal, economic downturn, or unified Republican surge could shift odds, though historical precedents favor incumbents in deep-blue states like Massachusetts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$24,287Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey commands trader consensus at 95.3% implied probability to win the November 3, 2026, Massachusetts gubernatorial election, reflecting her consistent double-digit leads in recent University of New Hampshire polls from April 2026—52% to 32% over Republican frontrunner Michael Minogue, 51% to 29% against Brian Shortsleeve, and 53% to 32% versus Mike Kennealy—amid the state's strong Democratic lean and her unchallenged primary position. A May 3 federal appeals court ruling restricting mifepristone access via telehealth has spotlighted abortion divides, with Healey pledging to protect reproductive rights while Minogue's pro-life stance draws intra-GOP criticism from Shortsleeve, potentially alienating moderate voters ahead of the September 1 Republican primary. Scenarios like a major Healey scandal, economic downturn, or unified Republican surge could shift odds, though historical precedents favor incumbents in deep-blue states like Massachusetts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti