Jasmine Clark's commanding 89% implied probability in the GA-13 Democratic primary stems from her position as the leading challenger to longtime incumbent David Scott, who died suddenly on April 22, 2026, abruptly opening the race six days before the May 19 primary. Pre-death polls, such as a March Z to A survey showing Clark tied at 30% with Scott's 31%, highlighted her competitiveness, bolstered by superior fundraising, ad spending, and recent $583,000 support from the Protect Progress super PAC announced May 6. Early voting since April 27 has amplified her momentum in this metro Atlanta district spanning Clayton, DeKalb, and other counties, while Everton Blair Jr. holds second at 8% amid fragmented field support; late surges or turnout shifts could narrow gaps, though traders bet heavily on Clark's path to the nomination ahead of a potential July special election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGA-13 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche
GA-13 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche
Jasmine Clark 89%
Everton Blair Jr. 9%
Joe Lester 1.5%
Emanuel Jones 1.4%
$24,796 Vol.
$24,796 Vol.
Jasmine Clark
89%
Everton Blair Jr.
9%
Joe Lester
2%
Emanuel Jones
1%
Heavenly Kimes
1%
David Scott
1%
Jeffree Fauntleroy Sr.
<1%
Pierre Whatley
<1%
Jasmine Clark 89%
Everton Blair Jr. 9%
Joe Lester 1.5%
Emanuel Jones 1.4%
$24,796 Vol.
$24,796 Vol.
Jasmine Clark
89%
Everton Blair Jr.
9%
Joe Lester
2%
Emanuel Jones
1%
Heavenly Kimes
1%
David Scott
1%
Jeffree Fauntleroy Sr.
<1%
Pierre Whatley
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Mar 20, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jasmine Clark's commanding 89% implied probability in the GA-13 Democratic primary stems from her position as the leading challenger to longtime incumbent David Scott, who died suddenly on April 22, 2026, abruptly opening the race six days before the May 19 primary. Pre-death polls, such as a March Z to A survey showing Clark tied at 30% with Scott's 31%, highlighted her competitiveness, bolstered by superior fundraising, ad spending, and recent $583,000 support from the Protect Progress super PAC announced May 6. Early voting since April 27 has amplified her momentum in this metro Atlanta district spanning Clayton, DeKalb, and other counties, while Everton Blair Jr. holds second at 8% amid fragmented field support; late surges or turnout shifts could narrow gaps, though traders bet heavily on Clark's path to the nomination ahead of a potential July special election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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