Recent polls underscore the razor-thin margin in Ohio's open-seat gubernatorial race, with BGSU/YouGov (April 7-14) showing Republican frontrunner Vivek Ramaswamy at 48% over Democrat Amy Acton's 47% among registered voters, and Echelon Insights (April 3-9) at 49%-44% among likely voters, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered at 53.5% Democrat and 44% Republican implied probabilities. This battleground contest remains deadlocked due to high undecideds, Ramaswamy's polarizing outsider appeal contrasting Acton's government experience, and Ohio's history of Republican governors since 2010 amid national midterm volatility. Primary outcomes on May 5 could solidify nominees or introduce stronger challengers, while endorsements, debates, or shifts in turnout among urban and suburban voters may create separation before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$79,555 Vol.
$79,555 Vol.

Democratico
54%

Repubblicano
45%
$79,555 Vol.
$79,555 Vol.

Democratico
54%

Repubblicano
45%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls underscore the razor-thin margin in Ohio's open-seat gubernatorial race, with BGSU/YouGov (April 7-14) showing Republican frontrunner Vivek Ramaswamy at 48% over Democrat Amy Acton's 47% among registered voters, and Echelon Insights (April 3-9) at 49%-44% among likely voters, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered at 53.5% Democrat and 44% Republican implied probabilities. This battleground contest remains deadlocked due to high undecideds, Ramaswamy's polarizing outsider appeal contrasting Acton's government experience, and Ohio's history of Republican governors since 2010 amid national midterm volatility. Primary outcomes on May 5 could solidify nominees or introduce stronger challengers, while endorsements, debates, or shifts in turnout among urban and suburban voters may create separation before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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