Morena holds a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican Chamber of Deputies election scheduled for June 6, reflecting sustained polling advantages of 35-49% against fragmented opposition parties. Traders price this outcome at 91% based on the party's structural edge from incumbency, territorial organization, and voter base in key states. Recent candidate selection processes for governorships and legislative seats have highlighted internal coordination within the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition despite localized tensions. Opposition fragmentation between PAN, PRI, and MC limits any unified challenge, consistent with historical patterns of divided anti-incumbent votes. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major economic shifts, coalition realignments, or unusually high opposition turnout in battleground districts before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni legislative in Messico
Vincitore delle elezioni legislative in Messico
Morena 91.1%
PAN 6.4%
PRI 2.3%
MC <1%
$104,465 Vol.
$104,465 Vol.
31 mar 2028
Morena
91%
PAN
6%
PRI
2%
MC
<1%
PT
<1%
PVEM
<1%
Morena 91.1%
PAN 6.4%
PRI 2.3%
MC <1%
$104,465 Vol.
$104,465 Vol.
31 mar 2028
Morena
$56,705 Vol.
91%
PAN
$17,572 Vol.
6%
PRI
$8,542 Vol.
2%
MC
$9,375 Vol.
<1%
PT
$6,129 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$6,141 Vol.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena holds a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican Chamber of Deputies election scheduled for June 6, reflecting sustained polling advantages of 35-49% against fragmented opposition parties. Traders price this outcome at 91% based on the party's structural edge from incumbency, territorial organization, and voter base in key states. Recent candidate selection processes for governorships and legislative seats have highlighted internal coordination within the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition despite localized tensions. Opposition fragmentation between PAN, PRI, and MC limits any unified challenge, consistent with historical patterns of divided anti-incumbent votes. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major economic shifts, coalition realignments, or unusually high opposition turnout in battleground districts before election day.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$104,465Data di fine
1 apr 2028Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena holds a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican Chamber of Deputies election scheduled for June 6, reflecting sustained polling advantages of 35-49% against fragmented opposition parties. Traders price this outcome at 91% based on the party's structural edge from incumbency, territorial organization, and voter base in key states. Recent candidate selection processes for governorships and legislative seats have highlighted internal coordination within the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition despite localized tensions. Opposition fragmentation between PAN, PRI, and MC limits any unified challenge, consistent with historical patterns of divided anti-incumbent votes. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major economic shifts, coalition realignments, or unusually high opposition turnout in battleground districts before election day.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$104,465Data di fine
1 apr 2028Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Morena holds a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican Chamber of Deputies election scheduled for June 6, reflecting sustained polling advantages of 35-49% against fragmented opposition parties. Traders price this outcome at 91% based on the party's structural edge from incumbency, territorial organization, and voter base in key states. Recent candidate selection processes for governorships and legislative seats have highlighted internal coordination within the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition despite localized tensions. Opposition fragmentation between PAN, PRI, and MC limits any unified challenge, consistent with historical patterns of divided anti-incumbent votes. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include major economic shifts, coalition realignments, or unusually high opposition turnout in battleground districts before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
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