Traders assign PAN the highest probability for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 legislative election because it remains the largest organized opposition party, positioned to consolidate anti-incumbent support while the ruling Morena coalition shows internal strains. Recent reports highlight friction within the Morena-PVEM-PT alliance, including disputes over reform initiatives that prioritize Morena’s dominance and reduce allied influence in candidate selection and resource allocation. This dynamic has prompted speculation that PT and PVEM may contest more districts independently, potentially splitting their combined seat totals. Meanwhile, PRI and MC face ongoing fragmentation from the prior opposition coalition, leaving PAN better placed to capture swing voters in key districts ahead of the midterms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PAN 67%
PT 41%
PVEM 34%
MC 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 giu 2027
PAN
56%
PRI
29%
PT
41%
PVEM
34%
MC
34%
Morena
13%
PAN 67%
PT 41%
PVEM 34%
MC 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 giu 2027
PAN
$21 Vol.
56%
PRI
$1 Vol.
29%
PT
$1 Vol.
41%
PVEM
$1 Vol.
34%
MC
$1 Vol.
34%
Morena
$37 Vol.
13%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Traders assign PAN the highest probability for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 legislative election because it remains the largest organized opposition party, positioned to consolidate anti-incumbent support while the ruling Morena coalition shows internal strains. Recent reports highlight friction within the Morena-PVEM-PT alliance, including disputes over reform initiatives that prioritize Morena’s dominance and reduce allied influence in candidate selection and resource allocation. This dynamic has prompted speculation that PT and PVEM may contest more districts independently, potentially splitting their combined seat totals. Meanwhile, PRI and MC face ongoing fragmentation from the prior opposition coalition, leaving PAN better placed to capture swing voters in key districts ahead of the midterms.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Mercato aperto: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Volume
$63Data di fine
6 giu 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Traders assign PAN the highest probability for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 legislative election because it remains the largest organized opposition party, positioned to consolidate anti-incumbent support while the ruling Morena coalition shows internal strains. Recent reports highlight friction within the Morena-PVEM-PT alliance, including disputes over reform initiatives that prioritize Morena’s dominance and reduce allied influence in candidate selection and resource allocation. This dynamic has prompted speculation that PT and PVEM may contest more districts independently, potentially splitting their combined seat totals. Meanwhile, PRI and MC face ongoing fragmentation from the prior opposition coalition, leaving PAN better placed to capture swing voters in key districts ahead of the midterms.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$63Data di fine
6 giu 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign PAN the highest probability for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 legislative election because it remains the largest organized opposition party, positioned to consolidate anti-incumbent support while the ruling Morena coalition shows internal strains. Recent reports highlight friction within the Morena-PVEM-PT alliance, including disputes over reform initiatives that prioritize Morena’s dominance and reduce allied influence in candidate selection and resource allocation. This dynamic has prompted speculation that PT and PVEM may contest more districts independently, potentially splitting their combined seat totals. Meanwhile, PRI and MC face ongoing fragmentation from the prior opposition coalition, leaving PAN better placed to capture swing voters in key districts ahead of the midterms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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