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Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Danimarca?

icon for Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Danimarca?

Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Danimarca?

Mette Frederiksen 99.6%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen <1%

Lars Boje Mathiesen <1%

Alex Vanopslagh <1%

Polymarket

$9,449,585 Vol.

Mette Frederiksen 99.6%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen <1%

Lars Boje Mathiesen <1%

Alex Vanopslagh <1%

Polymarket

$9,449,585 Vol.

icon for Lars Løkke Rasmussen

Lars Løkke Rasmussen

$2,152,298 Vol.

No

icon for Lars Boje Mathiesen

Lars Boje Mathiesen

$911,069 Vol.

No

icon for Alex Vanopslagh

Alex Vanopslagh

$729,360 Vol.

No

icon for Inger Støjberg

Inger Støjberg

$45,439 Vol.

No

icon for Martin Lidegaard

Martin Lidegaard

$75,323 Vol.

No

icon for Mette Frederiksen

Mette Frederiksen

$1,675,761 Vol.

icon for Troels Lund Poulsen

Troels Lund Poulsen

$1,310,152 Vol.

No

icon for Pia Olsen Dyhr

Pia Olsen Dyhr

$141,372 Vol.

No

icon for Morten Messerschmidt

Morten Messerschmidt

$2,162,786 Vol.

No

icon for Pelle Dragsted

Pelle Dragsted

$87,061 Vol.

No

icon for Mona Juul

Mona Juul

$158,963 Vol.

No

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mette Frederiksen’s commanding position in the market reflects her recent success in forming Denmark’s new centre-left minority coalition government after the March 2026 parliamentary election. Following prolonged negotiations, her Social Democrats secured backing from the Green Left, Moderates, and Social Liberals, with additional support from other parties, enabling her reappointment as prime minister for a third term. Traders view this outcome as highly likely given the completed coalition agreement and institutional confirmation process. Potential shifts remain possible only if the government formation encounters last-minute procedural hurdles or unexpected withdrawals of parliamentary support before final ratification.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,449,585
Data di fine
24 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Esito proposto: Sì

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Sì

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mette Frederiksen’s commanding position in the market reflects her recent success in forming Denmark’s new centre-left minority coalition government after the March 2026 parliamentary election. Following prolonged negotiations, her Social Democrats secured backing from the Green Left, Moderates, and Social Liberals, with additional support from other parties, enabling her reappointment as prime minister for a third term. Traders view this outcome as highly likely given the completed coalition agreement and institutional confirmation process. Potential shifts remain possible only if the government formation encounters last-minute procedural hurdles or unexpected withdrawals of parliamentary support before final ratification.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,449,585
Data di fine
24 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Esito proposto: Sì

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Danimarca?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Mette Frederiksen" a 100%, seguito da "Lars Løkke Rasmussen" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Danimarca?" ha generato $9.4 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 27, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Danimarca?", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Danimarca?" è "Mette Frederiksen" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Lars Løkke Rasmussen" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Danimarca?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.