Recent Supreme Court approval of Alabama’s prior congressional maps prompted the leading challenger in the AL-01 Republican primary to shift his candidacy to District 2, sharply narrowing the field for the May 19 contest. Jerry Carl, who represented the district from 2021 to 2025, retains strong name recognition, established fundraising, and local organizational support across the Mobile and Gulf Coast areas. The remaining candidates trail significantly in both polling and resources. Trader consensus now reflects these developments, with the former congressman viewed as the prohibitive favorite in a race that had been tightening earlier this spring.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJerry Carl 84%
Rhett Marques 6%
Joshua McKee 1.9%
Austin Sidwell 1.0%
$41,938 Vol.
$41,938 Vol.
Jerry Carl
84%
Rhett Marques
6%
Joshua McKee
2%
Austin Sidwell
1%
John Mills
1%
James Dees
1%
James Richardson
<1%
Jerry Carl 84%
Rhett Marques 6%
Joshua McKee 1.9%
Austin Sidwell 1.0%
$41,938 Vol.
$41,938 Vol.
Jerry Carl
84%
Rhett Marques
6%
Joshua McKee
2%
Austin Sidwell
1%
John Mills
1%
James Dees
1%
James Richardson
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Supreme Court approval of Alabama’s prior congressional maps prompted the leading challenger in the AL-01 Republican primary to shift his candidacy to District 2, sharply narrowing the field for the May 19 contest. Jerry Carl, who represented the district from 2021 to 2025, retains strong name recognition, established fundraising, and local organizational support across the Mobile and Gulf Coast areas. The remaining candidates trail significantly in both polling and resources. Trader consensus now reflects these developments, with the former congressman viewed as the prohibitive favorite in a race that had been tightening earlier this spring.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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