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Elezioni·Pennsylvania Primary

PA-07 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche

Market icon
Elezioni·Pennsylvania Primary

PA-07 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche

Bob Brooks 61%

Ryan Crosswell 35%

Lamont McClure 5.2%

Aiden Gonzalez <1%

Polymarket

$16,638 Vol.

Bob Brooks 61%

Ryan Crosswell 35%

Lamont McClure 5.2%

Aiden Gonzalez <1%

Polymarket

$16,638 Vol.

Bob Brooks

$2,313 Vol.

61%

Ryan Crosswell

$2,811 Vol.

35%

Lamont McClure

$3,574 Vol.

5%

Aiden Gonzalez

$1,538 Vol.

1%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$4,243 Vol.

1%

Lewis Shupe

$2,158 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the PA-07 Democratic primary favors Bob Brooks at 60% implied probability, driven by his endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and the Working Families Party, alongside his role as president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association appealing to working-class voters in the Lehigh Valley swing district. Recent independent expenditures supporting Brooks, including $28,000 from Stronger Together PA on April 16 and $25,000 from DLP PAC on April 13, have bolstered his position post-first televised debate on April 1. Ryan Crosswell holds 36.5% with superior Q1 fundraising ($484,000 raised, $715,000 cash on hand per April 16 reports), outpacing Brooks' $423,000 raised, though his past Republican registration raises questions among primary voters. Lamont McClure and others trail due to weaker resources ahead of the May 19 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$16,638
Data di fine
19 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the PA-07 Democratic primary favors Bob Brooks at 60% implied probability, driven by his endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and the Working Families Party, alongside his role as president of the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association appealing to working-class voters in the Lehigh Valley swing district. Recent independent expenditures supporting Brooks, including $28,000 from Stronger Together PA on April 16 and $25,000 from DLP PAC on April 13, have bolstered his position post-first televised debate on April 1. Ryan Crosswell holds 36.5% with superior Q1 fundraising ($484,000 raised, $715,000 cash on hand per April 16 reports), outpacing Brooks' $423,000 raised, though his past Republican registration raises questions among primary voters. Lamont McClure and others trail due to weaker resources ahead of the May 19 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$16,638
Data di fine
19 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"PA-07 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Bob Brooks" a 61%, seguito da "Ryan Crosswell" a 35%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 61¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 61% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "PA-07 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" ha generato $16.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 20, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "PA-07 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "PA-07 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" è "Bob Brooks" a 61%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 61% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ryan Crosswell" a 35%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "PA-07 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.