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Politica·Midterms

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·Midterms

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

André Carson 97.0%

Destiny Scott Wells 1.3%

Denise Paul Hatch 1.0%

George Hornedo <1%

Polymarket

$14,616 Vol.

André Carson 97.0%

Destiny Scott Wells 1.3%

Denise Paul Hatch 1.0%

George Hornedo <1%

Polymarket

$14,616 Vol.

André Carson

$7,366 Vol.

97%

Destiny Scott Wells

$401 Vol.

1%

Denise Paul Hatch

$5,938 Vol.

1%

George Hornedo

$911 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson holds a commanding 97% trader consensus in the IN-07 Democratic primary market ahead of the May 5 election, reflecting his 18-year tenure in the safely Democratic D+21 district, family legacy from Rep. Julia Carson, and superior fundraising and name recognition. Recent voter guides and IndyStar "Meet the Candidates" interviews from the past week—featuring challengers Destiny Scott Wells (military veteran and attorney), former constable Denise Paul Hatch, and attorney George Hornedo—have spotlighted anti-incumbent sentiment, but no polls show momentum shifts or viable paths to victory for them. Scenarios like a late scandal, health event, or turnout surge among progressive voters could challenge this, though structural incumbency advantages make upsets rare.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,616
Data di fine
5 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson holds a commanding 97% trader consensus in the IN-07 Democratic primary market ahead of the May 5 election, reflecting his 18-year tenure in the safely Democratic D+21 district, family legacy from Rep. Julia Carson, and superior fundraising and name recognition. Recent voter guides and IndyStar "Meet the Candidates" interviews from the past week—featuring challengers Destiny Scott Wells (military veteran and attorney), former constable Denise Paul Hatch, and attorney George Hornedo—have spotlighted anti-incumbent sentiment, but no polls show momentum shifts or viable paths to victory for them. Scenarios like a late scandal, health event, or turnout surge among progressive voters could challenge this, though structural incumbency advantages make upsets rare.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,616
Data di fine
5 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "André Carson" a 97%, seguito da "Destiny Scott Wells" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 97¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $14.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 20, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner" è "André Carson" a 97%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Destiny Scott Wells" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.