Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Xi Jinping will remain in power as Chinese Communist Party general secretary, president, and Central Military Commission chairman beyond June 30, driven by his unchallenged dominance following ongoing anti-corruption purges of military generals and officials, which reinforce rather than undermine his control. Xi's April 30 public appearance at a Shanghai symposium on basic research—his most recent high-profile outing—dispels health rumors, while March's Two Sessions underscored his centrality amid no visible succession planning or factional challenges. With no term limits and absolute authority solidified since 2022, abrupt removal via coup or health crisis remains the sole, improbable scenarios traders price at under 2%, absent late-breaking diplomatic or internal shocks.